Modiv Valuation

MDV Stock  USD 16.12  0.12  0.74%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Modiv Inc secures a last-minute Real Value of $13.8 per share. The latest price of the firm is $16.12. Our model forecasts the value of Modiv Inc from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.0134, current valuation of 429.73 M, and Profit Margin of 0.07 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Modiv's valuation include:
Price Book
0.841
Enterprise Value
429.7 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
10.9145
Price Sales
3.3038
Forward PE
147.0588
Overvalued
Today
16.12
Please note that Modiv's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Modiv Inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Modiv's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Modiv stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Modiv Inc. Since Modiv is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Modiv Stock. However, Modiv's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  16.12 Real  13.8 Target  16.0 Hype  16.24 Naive  15.73
The intrinsic value of Modiv's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Modiv's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
13.80
Real Value
17.86
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Modiv Inc helps investors to forecast how Modiv stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Modiv more accurately as focusing exclusively on Modiv's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.020.020.02
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.2916.2418.19
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.750.830.91
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
14.5616.0017.76
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Modiv's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Modiv's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Modiv's closest peers.

Modiv Cash

2.97 Million

Modiv Valuation Trend

Analysing the historical paterns of Modiv's enterprise value and its market capitalization is a good way to estimate and gauge the value of Modiv Inc over time and is usually enough for investors to make rational market timing decisions.

Modiv Valuation Data Drivers

Market Cap is likely to drop to about 98.7 M in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to drop to about 306.8 M in 2024 View More Fundamentals

Modiv Total Value Analysis

Modiv Inc is now forecasted to have company total value of 429.73 M with market capitalization of 156.66 M, debt of 279.73 M, and cash on hands of 8.61 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Modiv fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
429.73 M
156.66 M
279.73 M
8.61 M

Modiv Investor Information

The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.84. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Modiv Inc recorded a loss per share of 0.11. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2024. The firm had 1083:1000 split on the 16th of January 2024. Based on the key indicators related to Modiv's liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Modiv Inc is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in December.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.04680.0493
Notably Down
Slightly volatile

Modiv Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Modiv has an asset utilization ratio of 8.84 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.0884 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Modiv Inc is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid

Modiv Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Modiv Inc is $156.66 Million. Modiv Inc secures 8.92 % of its outstanding shares held by insiders and 10.95 % owned by institutional investors. Note, that even with negative profits, if the true value of the firm is larger than the current market value, you may still be able to generate positive returns on investment in this company.

Modiv Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 46.94 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (8.7 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 37.55 M.

Modiv Past Distributions to stockholders

About Modiv Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Modiv. We calculate exposure to Modiv's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Modiv's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit26.2 M22.9 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.19)(0.19)
Operating Profit Margin 0.05  0.05 
Net Loss(0.14)(0.15)
Gross Profit Margin 0.56  0.38 
Modiv's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Modiv's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Modiv can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Modiv represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Modiv, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Modiv Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Modiv's Dividends Paid is fairly stable compared to the past year. Dividend Yield is likely to climb to 0.12 in 2024, despite the fact that Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to grow to (1.70). . Retained Earnings is likely to climb to about (138.3 M) in 2024. Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop to about (111.5 M) in 2024
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid11.8 M12.4 M
Dividend Yield 0.11  0.12 
Dividend Payout Ratio(1.79)(1.70)
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.40  1.47 
There are various types of dividends Modiv can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Modiv shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Modiv Inc directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Modiv pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Modiv by the value of the dividends paid out.

Modiv Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Modiv does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.915
Forward Price Earnings147.0588

Modiv Current Valuation Indicators

Modiv's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Modiv's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Modiv, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Modiv's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Modiv's worth.

Additional Tools for Modiv Stock Analysis

When running Modiv's price analysis, check to measure Modiv's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Modiv is operating at the current time. Most of Modiv's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Modiv's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Modiv's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Modiv to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.