Modelon AB Valuation

MODEL-B Stock  SEK 11.70  0.10  0.86%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Modelon AB Cl secures a last-minute Real Value of kr9.53 per share. The latest price of the firm is kr11.7. Our model forecasts the value of Modelon AB Cl from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (0.73) %, current valuation of 34.77 M, and Return On Equity of -0.31 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
11.70
Please note that Modelon AB's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Modelon AB Cl is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Modelon AB's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Modelon AB is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Modelon Stock. However, Modelon AB's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.7 Real  9.53 Hype  11.7 Naive  11.74
The real value of Modelon Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Modelon AB Cl Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Modelon AB's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Modelon AB's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
9.53
Real Value
12.46
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Modelon AB Cl helps investors to forecast how Modelon stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Modelon AB more accurately as focusing exclusively on Modelon AB's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.7011.7011.70
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.7711.7014.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.8011.7414.67
Details

Modelon AB Total Value Analysis

Modelon AB Cl is now forecasted to have takeover price of 34.77 M with market capitalization of 220.94 M, debt of , and cash on hands of 50.3 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Modelon AB fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company

Modelon AB Investor Information

About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.27. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Modelon AB Cl recorded a loss per share of 2.92. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Modelon AB's historical financial statements, Modelon AB Cl is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in December.

Modelon AB Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Modelon AB has an asset utilization ratio of 32.38 percent. This suggests that the Company is making kr0.32 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Modelon AB Cl is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Modelon AB Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Modelon AB Cl is kr220.94 Million. Modelon AB Cl secures majority of its outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a corporate executive, director, member of the board or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. 68.8 % of Modelon AB Cl outstanding shares that are owned by insiders conveys that they have been buying or selling the stock in recent months in anticipation of some upcoming event. Note, that even with negative profits, if the true value of the firm is larger than the current market value, you may still be able to generate positive returns on investment in this company.

Modelon AB Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 68.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (28.5 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.48 M).
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Modelon AB's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Modelon AB and how it compares across the competition.

About Modelon AB Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Modelon AB's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Modelon AB. We calculate exposure to Modelon AB's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Modelon AB's related companies.
Modelon AB provides systems modeling and simulation software solutions in Sweden and internationally. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Lund, Sweden. Modelon AB operates under SoftwareApplication classification in Sweden and is traded on Stockholm Stock Exchange. It employs 100 people.

8 Steps to conduct Modelon AB's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Modelon AB's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Modelon AB's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Modelon AB's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Modelon AB's revenue streams: Identify Modelon AB's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Modelon AB's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Modelon AB's growth potential: Evaluate Modelon AB's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Modelon AB's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Modelon AB's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Complementary Tools for Modelon Stock analysis

When running Modelon AB's price analysis, check to measure Modelon AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Modelon AB is operating at the current time. Most of Modelon AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Modelon AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Modelon AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Modelon AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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