At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Morguard secures a last-minute Real Value of C$117.72 per share. The latest price of the firm is C$119.5. Our model forecasts the value of Morguard from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.20 %, current valuation of 6.57 B, and Return On Equity of 0.0457 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Morguard's valuation include:
Price Book
0.289
Enterprise Value
6.6 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
12.4942
Price Sales
1.1293
Forward PE
5.0839
Fairly Valued
Today
119.50
Please note that Morguard's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Morguard is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Morguard's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Morguard is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Morguard Stock. However, Morguard's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical
Market 119.5
Real 117.72
Hype 119.5
Naive 118.17
The intrinsic value of Morguard's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Morguard's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Morguard helps investors to forecast how Morguard stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Morguard more accurately as focusing exclusively on Morguard's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Morguard's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Morguard's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Morguard's closest peers.
Morguard Cash
169.93 Million
Morguard Total Value Analysis
Morguard is now forecasted to have takeover price of 6.57 B with market capitalization of 1.28 B, debt of 5.44 B, and cash on hands of 136.45 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Morguard fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.29. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Morguard recorded earning per share (EPS) of 21.15. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Morguard's historical financial statements, Morguard may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Morguard has an asset utilization ratio of 9.42 percent. This suggests that the Company is making C$0.0942 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Morguard is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
Dot-com Bubble
Housing Crash
Credit Downgrade
Yuan Drop
Covid
Interest Hikes
Morguard Profitability Analysis
Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Morguard's financial statements, Morguard's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average probability of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Morguard's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
Net Income
First Reported
1996-12-31
Previous Quarter
54 M
Current Value
37.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
64.2 M
Dot-com Bubble
Housing Crash
Credit Downgrade
Yuan Drop
Covid
Interest Hikes
As of the 3rd of February 2026, Pretax Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.31, while Gross Profit is likely to drop about 336.3 M.
For Morguard profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Morguard to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Morguard utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Morguard's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Morguard over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
Morguard Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual
By analyzing Morguard's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Morguard's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Morguard is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Dot-com Bubble
Housing Crash
Credit Downgrade
Yuan Drop
Covid
Interest Hikes
Morguard is projected to generate 4.105 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Morguard earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Morguard EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Morguard's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Morguard, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.
Morguard Ownership Allocation
The market capitalization of Morguard is C$1.28 Billion. Morguard secures majority of its outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a corporate executive, director, member of the board or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. 75.6 % of Morguard outstanding shares that are owned by insiders conveys that they have been buying or selling the stock in recent months in anticipation of some upcoming event. Note, that even with substantial debt, if the true value of the firm is larger than the current market value, you may still be able to generate positive returns on investment in this company at some point.
Morguard Profitability Analysis
The company reported the revenue of 1.11 B. Net Income was 239.63 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 529.22 M.
We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Morguard. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Morguard based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Morguard's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Morguard's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Morguard. We calculate exposure to Morguard's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Morguard's related companies.
Morguard financial ratios help investors to determine whether Morguard Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Morguard with respect to the benefits of owning Morguard security.