Noah Holdings Valuation

NOAH Stock  USD 11.49  0.28  2.38%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Noah Holdings secures a last-minute Real Value of $13.55 per share. The latest price of the firm is $11.49. Our model forecasts the value of Noah Holdings from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.0688, profit margin of 0.24 %, and Current Valuation of (48.72 M) as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Noah Holdings' valuation include:
Price Book
0.5706
Enterprise Value
-48.7 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
4.1306
Price Sales
0.2693
Trailing PE
8.5111
Undervalued
Today
11.49
Please note that Noah Holdings' price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Noah Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Noah Holdings' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Noah Holdings is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Noah Stock. However, Noah Holdings' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.49 Real  13.55 Target  19.87 Hype  11.29 Naive  11.25
The intrinsic value of Noah Holdings' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Noah Holdings' stock price.
13.55
Real Value
17.76
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Noah Holdings helps investors to forecast how Noah stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Noah Holdings more accurately as focusing exclusively on Noah Holdings' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
2.012.112.19
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.0811.2915.50
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.580.841.10
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
18.0819.8722.06
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Noah Holdings, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Noah Holdings Cash

5.45 Billion

Noah Valuation Trend

Noah Holdings' real value analysis enables investors to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both Noah Holdings' enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Noah Holdings Total Value Analysis

Noah Holdings is now forecasted to have valuation of (48.72 M) with market capitalization of 758.02 M, debt of 138.36 M, and cash on hands of 3.69 B. The negative valuation of Noah Holdings may imply that the market is not capable to price the future growth of the company or it is pricing it at zero value. It may also suggest that takeover valuation may not have captured all of the outstanding financial obligations of the company both on and off balance sheet. Investors should vigilantly validate all of the Noah Holdings fundamentals.
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
(48.72 M)
758.02 M
138.36 M
3.69 B

Noah Holdings Investor Information

About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.57. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Noah Holdings last dividend was issued on the 3rd of July 2024. Based on the key indicators related to Noah Holdings' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Noah Holdings is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in December.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.250.3332
Way Down
Very volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities665.1 M1.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income618.2 M1.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Noah Holdings Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Noah Holdings has an asset utilization ratio of 25.97 percent. This signifies that the Company is making $0.26 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Noah Holdings is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Noah Holdings Ownership Allocation

Noah Holdings maintains a total of 65.97 Million outstanding shares. 30% of Noah Holdings outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. Institutional investors are typically referred to investors that purchase positions in a given stock to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors. Please look out for any change in current institutional holding as this could mean something significant has changed at the company or is about to change. Please note that no matter how many assets the company has, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Noah Holdings Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.29 B. Net Income was 1 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.66 B.

Noah Holdings Past Distributions to stockholders

About Noah Holdings Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to Noah Stock, attempts to find the value of Noah Holdings based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Noah Holdings's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Noah Holdings's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Noah Holdings. We calculate exposure to Noah Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Noah Holdings's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.8 B1.1 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.38  0.33 
Operating Profit Margin 0.33  0.25 
Net Profit Margin 0.31  0.18 
Gross Profit Margin 0.56  0.70 
Noah Holdings' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Noah Holdings' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Noah Holdings can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Noah Holdings represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Noah, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Noah Holdings Dividends Analysis For Valuation

Please note that Noah Holdings has scaled down on payment of dividends at this time. As of now, Noah Holdings' Retained Earnings are increasing as compared to previous years. The Noah Holdings' current Earnings Yield is estimated to increase to 0.16, while Price Earnings Ratio is projected to decrease to 6.41.
There are various types of dividends Noah Holdings can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Noah shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Noah Holdings directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Noah pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Noah Holdings by the value of the dividends paid out.

Noah Holdings Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding69.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.691

Noah Holdings Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Noah Holdings and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Noah we look at many different elements of the entity such as Noah's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Noah Holdings, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Noah Holdings' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Noah Holdings' worth.

Complementary Tools for Noah Stock analysis

When running Noah Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Noah Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Noah Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Noah Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Noah Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Noah Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Noah Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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