Smurfit Kappa Valuation

SK3 Stock  EUR 50.70  0.70  1.36%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Smurfit Kappa Group has a current Real Value of €40.56 per share. The regular price of the company is €50.7. Our model measures the value of Smurfit Kappa Group from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 0.13 %, return on equity of 0.2, and Shares Outstanding of 260.15 M as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
50.70
Please note that Smurfit Kappa's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Smurfit Kappa Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Smurfit Kappa's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Smurfit stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Smurfit Kappa Group. Since Smurfit Kappa is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Smurfit Stock. However, Smurfit Kappa's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  50.7 Real  40.56 Hype  50.7 Naive  50.04
The real value of Smurfit Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Smurfit Kappa Group Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Smurfit Kappa's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Smurfit Kappa's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
40.56
Real Value
55.77
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Smurfit Kappa Group helps investors to forecast how Smurfit stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Smurfit Kappa more accurately as focusing exclusively on Smurfit Kappa's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.9346.0055.07
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.5850.7053.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
46.9250.0453.15
Details

Smurfit Kappa Total Value Analysis

Smurfit Kappa Group is at this time estimated to have takeover price of 12.35 B with market capitalization of 9.25 B, debt of 3.54 B, and cash on hands of 407 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Smurfit Kappa fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
12.35 B
9.25 B
3.54 B
407 M

Smurfit Kappa Investor Information

About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.83. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Smurfit Kappa Group last dividend was issued on the 13th of April 2023. Based on the key measurements obtained from Smurfit Kappa's financial statements, Smurfit Kappa Group is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in January.

Smurfit Kappa Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Smurfit Kappa has an asset utilization ratio of 102.67 percent. This implies that the Company is making €1.03 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Smurfit Kappa Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Smurfit Kappa Ownership Allocation

Smurfit Kappa Group shows a total of 260.15 Million outstanding shares. Over half of Smurfit Kappa's outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional holders are typically referred to as corporate investors that take positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Consequently, these institutions are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors in Smurfit Kappa Group. Please watch out for any change in the institutional holdings of Smurfit Kappa as this could mean something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company owns, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Smurfit Kappa Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 12.81 B. Net Income was 944 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.06 B.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Smurfit Kappa's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Smurfit Kappa and how it compares across the competition.

About Smurfit Kappa Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Smurfit Kappa's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Smurfit Kappa. We calculate exposure to Smurfit Kappa's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Smurfit Kappa's related companies.
Smurfit Kappa Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells paper-based packaging products. Smurfit Kappa Group plc was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland. SMURFIT KAPPA operates under Packaging Containers classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 46000 people.

8 Steps to conduct Smurfit Kappa's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Smurfit Kappa's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Smurfit Kappa's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Smurfit Kappa's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Smurfit Kappa's revenue streams: Identify Smurfit Kappa's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Smurfit Kappa's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Smurfit Kappa's growth potential: Evaluate Smurfit Kappa's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Smurfit Kappa's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Smurfit Kappa's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Complementary Tools for Smurfit Stock analysis

When running Smurfit Kappa's price analysis, check to measure Smurfit Kappa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smurfit Kappa is operating at the current time. Most of Smurfit Kappa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smurfit Kappa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smurfit Kappa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smurfit Kappa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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