Swatch Valuation

SWGNF Stock  USD 35.02  1.58  4.32%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Swatch Group has a current Real Value of $30.19 per share. The regular price of the company is $35.02. Our model measures the value of Swatch Group from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 0.15 %, shares outstanding of 114.56 M, and Return On Equity of 0.0696 as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
35.02
Please note that Swatch's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Swatch Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Swatch's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Swatch pink sheet is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of The Swatch Group. Since Swatch is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Swatch Pink Sheet. However, Swatch's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  35.02 Real  30.19 Hype  35.02 Naive  36.76
The real value of Swatch Pink Sheet, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Swatch Group Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Swatch's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Swatch's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
30.19
Real Value
38.52
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of The Swatch Group helps investors to forecast how Swatch pink sheet's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Swatch more accurately as focusing exclusively on Swatch's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.2135.1837.16
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.5435.0237.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
34.2836.7639.24
Details

Swatch Total Value Analysis

The Swatch Group is at this time estimated to have takeover price of 11.02 B with market capitalization of 17.15 B, debt of 2 M, and cash on hands of 2.46 B. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Swatch fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
11.02 B
17.15 B
M
2.46 B

Swatch Investor Information

About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.01. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Swatch Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.59. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of May 2023. The Swatch Group is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.

Swatch Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Swatch has an asset utilization ratio of 53.47 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.53 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that The Swatch Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Swatch Ownership Allocation

Swatch Group shows a total of 114.56 Million outstanding shares. Swatch Group maintains significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Please note that no matter how many assets the company owns, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Swatch Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 7.31 B. Net Income was 765 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.19 B.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Swatch's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Swatch and how it compares across the competition.

About Swatch Valuation

The pink sheet valuation mechanism determines Swatch's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Swatch. We calculate exposure to Swatch's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Swatch's related companies.
The Swatch Group AG designs, manufactures, and sells finished watches, jewelry, and watch movements and components worldwide. The Swatch Group AG was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in BielBienne, Switzerland. Swatch Grp operates under Luxury Goods classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 31405 people.

8 Steps to conduct Swatch's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Swatch's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Swatch's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Swatch's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Swatch's revenue streams: Identify Swatch's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Swatch's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Swatch's growth potential: Evaluate Swatch's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Swatch's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Swatch's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Swatch Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Swatch does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding51.8 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.004
Forward Price Earnings12.7389
Retained Earnings14.3 B

Complementary Tools for Swatch Pink Sheet analysis

When running Swatch's price analysis, check to measure Swatch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swatch is operating at the current time. Most of Swatch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swatch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swatch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swatch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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