Triple Flag Valuation

TFPM Stock  USD 16.77  0.16  0.96%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Triple Flag Precious has a current Real Value of $15.96 per share. The regular price of the company is $16.77. Our model measures the value of Triple Flag Precious from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -0.0309, shares outstanding of 201.43 M, and Operating Margin of 0.42 % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Triple Flag's valuation include:
Price Book
1.9571
Enterprise Value
3.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
72.5077
Price Sales
13.5945
Forward PE
22.1729
Overvalued
Today
16.77
Please note that Triple Flag's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Triple Flag Precious is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Triple Flag's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Triple stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Triple Flag Precious. Since Triple Flag is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Triple Stock. However, Triple Flag's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  16.77 Real  15.96 Target  15.0 Hype  16.76 Naive  16.46
The intrinsic value of Triple Flag's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Triple Flag's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
15.96
Real Value
17.93
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Triple Flag Precious helps investors to forecast how Triple stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Triple Flag more accurately as focusing exclusively on Triple Flag's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.130.140.14
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.7816.7618.74
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.140.140.14
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
13.6515.0016.65
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Triple Flag's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Triple Flag's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Triple Flag's closest peers.

Triple Flag Cash

31.15 Million

Triple Valuation Trend

Knowing Triple Flag's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Triple Flag's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Triple Flag Total Value Analysis

Triple Flag Precious is at this time projected to have valuation of 3.36 B with market capitalization of 3.35 B, debt of 59.15 M, and cash on hands of 79.71 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Triple Flag fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
3.36 B
3.35 B
59.15 M
79.71 M

Triple Flag Investor Information

About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.96. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Triple Flag Precious recorded a loss per share of 0.27. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2024. Based on the key indicators obtained from Triple Flag's historical financial statements, Triple Flag Precious may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average likelihood of going through some form of financial trouble next quarter.

Triple Flag Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The recent return on assets of Triple suggests not a very effective usage of assets in November.
 
Covid

Triple Flag Ownership Allocation

Triple Flag Precious shows a total of 201.43 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Triple Flag Precious outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Triple Flag to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Triple Flag Precious. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Triple Flag Precious as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company owns, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Triple Flag Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 204.02 M. Net Income was 36.95 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 137.09 M.

Triple Flag Past Distributions to stockholders

About Triple Flag Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Triple Flag Precious. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Triple Flag Precious based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Triple Flag's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Triple Flag's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Triple Flag. We calculate exposure to Triple Flag's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Triple Flag's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit99.8 M61.2 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.18  0.19 
Operating Profit Margin 0.26  0.27 
Net Profit Margin 0.18  0.19 
Gross Profit Margin 0.49  0.37 
Triple Flag's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Triple Flag's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Triple Flag can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Triple Flag represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Triple, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Triple Flag Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Triple Flag's Dividends Paid is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of November 2024, Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to grow to 1.20, while Dividend Yield is likely to drop 0.01. . At this time, Triple Flag's Retained Earnings are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of November 2024, Earnings Yield is likely to grow to 0.01, though Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (1.48).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid41.3 M54.8 M
Dividend Yield 0.02  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio 1.14  1.20 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.66  0.45 
There are various types of dividends Triple Flag can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Triple shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Triple Flag Precious directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Triple pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Triple Flag by the value of the dividends paid out.

Triple Flag Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Triple Flag does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding199.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.005
Forward Price Earnings22.1729

Triple Flag Current Valuation Indicators

Triple Flag's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Triple Flag's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Triple Flag, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Triple Flag's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Triple Flag's worth.
When determining whether Triple Flag Precious is a strong investment it is important to analyze Triple Flag's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Triple Flag's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Triple Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Triple Flag Precious. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Triple Flag. If investors know Triple will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Triple Flag listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.005
Dividend Share
0.213
Earnings Share
(0.27)
Revenue Per Share
1.224
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.491
The market value of Triple Flag Precious is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Triple that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Triple Flag's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Triple Flag's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Triple Flag's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Triple Flag's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Triple Flag's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Triple Flag is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Triple Flag's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.