TVA Valuation
| TVA-B Stock | CAD 1.15 0.05 4.55% |
Above Model Estimate
Today
Macroaxis currently classifies TVA's price fluctuation as Abnormal. Macroaxis calculates the intrinsic value estimate of TVA Group using a 3 months time horizon. Extending TVA's horizon generally improves valuation accuracy.
Value Estimates Divergence
The spread between TVA's market price of C$1.15 and a model-derived intrinsic value estimate of C$0.88 per share indicates the stock is reading as above model estimate. This analysis blends a return on equity of 2.94% and current valuation of C$43.64M and is then validated against risk profile and Probability Of Bankruptcy.| Historical | Market 1.15 | Intrinsic 0.88 | Sentiment 1.15 | Naive 0.98 |
The intrinsic value estimate of TVA Stock measures what the business is worth based on its ability to generate future cash flows. The gap between model-derived value and market price indicates whether the market is pricing in more or less risk than the model assumes. TVA true worth is not always reflected in its daily market price.
Understanding the potential upside and downside for TVA Group is essential before adding it to a portfolio. The distance between upside and downside targets reflects the sensitivity of TVA's valuation to changes in key operating assumptions. Scenario analysis narrows the range of outcomes by testing which assumptions must hold for each target to be reached.
Cross-validating TVA's valuation across DCF, multiples, and asset-based approaches reduces the risk of anchoring to one estimate. Relative valuation benchmarks TVA's multiples against comparable companies in its sector. The optimal framework for TVA Group combines bottom-up fundamental analysis with sector-relative analysis.
Main Profitability Drivers
TVA converts revenue at a 1.57% net margin rate, while its operating margin sits at 6.20%. A 4.63-point margin gap suggests that below-the-line items meaningfully affect TVA's net profitability. On 539.02 Million of revenue, TVA earned 67.42 Million in gross profit and 14.79 Million on the bottom line. At 2.94% ROE and 1.39% ROA, TVA's efficiency metrics offer insight into capital and asset utilization. The trend direction in TVA's profitability metrics skews negative, pointing to potential earnings risk ahead. For a deeper look, explore TVA's profitability breakdown.
Price Book 0.141 | Gross Profit | Price Sales 0.0919 | Profit Margin | Enterprise Value Revenue 0.0807 |
TVA Cash | 8.42 Million |
Cash stood at 15.27 Million as of December 31, 2025.
TVA operates as a media and entertainment business generating revenue through content monetization, advertising, and audience engagement, forming the primary lens for valuation. Trading as a value-leaning stock in Media, its valuation multiples sit below broader market averages. Enterprise value, leverage, and operating performance are compared below to identify where current pricing aligns with fundamentals and where it diverges.
Total Value Analysis
The market-value snapshot for TVA Group reflects enterprise value of 43.64 M, market capitalization of 49.69 M, debt of 12.5 M, and cash and equivalents of 3.85 M as of latest reporting. Enterprise value captures what an acquirer would pay for the operating business, making it more useful than market cap alone when debt is material.| Takeover Price | Market Cap | Debt Obligations | Cash & Equivalents |
43.64 M | 49.69 M | 12.5 M | 3.85 M |
Investor Information
About 65.0% of TVA-B outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. TVA-B has price-to-book ratio of 0.14. At this Price to Book (P/B), the stock trades at a discount to book that either reflects distressed fundamentals or potential undervaluation. TVA-B has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.27. TVA-B had its last dividend issued on the 6th of June 2011. The firm completed a 3-for-1 stock split on 3rd of March 1998. Operational scale and capital discipline leave TVA Group with serviceable financial positioning. Return on assets remains in positive territory, consistent with the company's business model and scale.Asset Utilization
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. TVA has an asset utilization ratio of 94.72 percent. This implies that the Company is making C$0.95 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that TVA Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.Macro event markers
Profitability Analysis
Based on TVA's financial statements, TVA Group is marginally profitable with a thin net margin of 1.57% and operating margin of 6.2%, leaving limited cushion against cost increases or revenue softness. Return on equity is 2.94%. Already-thin margins are contracting further, with multiple profitability indicators declining year over year.Net Income | First Reported 2005-03-31 | Previous Quarter 8 M | Current Value 31.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 13.7 M |
Macro event markers
| Current Value | Last Year | Change From Last Year | 10 Year Trend | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.0459 | 0.0484 |
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Profitability for TVA depends on margin structure, capital efficiency, and cost control. Net margin of 1.57% is thin, leaving limited cushion against cost increases or revenue softness. What follows tests whether current margins and returns are sustainable under prevailing business conditions. TVA reports return on equity of 2.94%, positive but not at levels that signal strong capital efficiency.
Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual
Analyst consensus on TVA's EPS captures the range of professional forecasts and their trajectory over time. An operating margin of 6.2% frames the cost structure behind TVA's reported EPS. Comparing TVA's EPS against revenue growth and cash conversion clarifies earnings quality. Consensus EPS estimates for TVA Group represent the market's baseline earnings expectation. Deviations from this consensus on report day typically drive the sharpest price reactions. TVA reported estimated earnings of 0.0 in earnings per share on 31st of December 2023. The strongest signal comes from comparing this forecast against the company's historical beat/miss rate and recent guidance revisions.Macro event markers
Ownership Allocation
Most of TVA's shares are owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a corporate executive, director, member of the board or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. 64.91% of TVA outstanding shares that are owned by insiders indicates they have been buying or selling the stock in recent months ahead of anticipated developments.Revenue and Profit Overview
TVA-B reported revenue of 539.02 M. Net Income was 14.79 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 67.42 M.Interpreting Recent Signals
TVA trades at 8.13 times earnings, well below market averages. Among media and entertainment companies, compressed multiples like this typically price in cyclical earnings risk or structural cost challenges tied to audience fragmentation, content spending discipline, and competitive dynamics in streaming and digital media. For media and entertainment companies, the earnings multiple reflects operating economics and cost structure more than top-line growth alone. At 1.57%, there is limited margin for error - a characteristic of media and entertainment companies where fixed costs absorb most of the revenue base and volume fluctuations flow directly to the bottom line. This margin profile is a direct function of the underlying business economics. Leverage at 32.6 is elevated, reflecting the heavy financing requirements inherent in media and entertainment companies. For a business built on its content and audience monetization model, this debt load amplifies both upside and downside from earnings swings. The 2.94% ROE places TVA in a range where the business covers its cost of capital but has room to improve how effectively equity translates into earnings. TVA's valuation profile reflects conservative market pricing, which historically offers different risk-reward characteristics compared to higher-multiple peers in Media. At these levels, the market is discounting limited or declining earnings momentum. The key question is whether operating trends stabilize enough to challenge the skepticism embedded in the current pricing.
Valuation Synthesis
TVA Group operates as a lower-margin media and entertainment business where revenue scale and cost discipline are critical to value creation within the media and entertainment companies space. Positive but modest profitability reflects a competitive operating environment where incremental efficiency gains carry outsized importance. The data points to a business where current multiples are less informative because underlying profitability has not been established. A re-rating depends on subscriber retention, content monetization trends, and advertising demand through economic cycles.
Valuation Framework, Methodology & Assumptions
TVA is a micro-cap equity in Broadcasting, Media & Entertainment, Communication Services categories. Cycle exposure impacts valuation range. For TVA, P/S of 0.09 anchors the current valuation read, with enterprise value (TTM) of 43.64 M, P/E of 8.13 adding context.
TVA Group analytics rely on periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with quality checks and normalization applied. Valuation outputs are model-derived and depend on published assumptions and reference inputs.
The analysis above is generated by quantitative models and is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement to buy or sell any security. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. See our Terms of Use for full details.
Financial data referenced in this analysis is derived from publicly available SEC filings, audited financial statements, and third-party market data providers. The intrinsic value estimate is generated by Macroaxis quantitative models that incorporate fundamental analysis, technical indicators, and risk metrics.
The methodology combines multiple analytical inputs:
- Fundamental analysis - financial statements, profitability ratios, debt structure, and cash flow metrics sourced from SEC filings and public financial reports
- Technical indicators - historical price patterns, momentum signals, and volatility measures
- Risk assessment - probability of bankruptcy models, market risk metrics, and downside scenario analysis
- Peer comparison - relative valuation against industry peers using standardized multiples
Model outputs are refreshed periodically as new financial data becomes available. Past model performance is not indicative of future results. The intrinsic value estimate reflects a point-in-time calculation and should be considered alongside other research and professional advice.
Data sourced from SEC filings (EDGAR), public financial statements, and market data providers.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Raphi Shpitalnik, Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
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