North Chemical (China) Volatility
| 002246 Stock | 12.28 0.10 0.81% |
North Chemical appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. North Chemical Industries has Sharpe Ratio of 0.14, which conveys that the firm had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing North Chemical's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.55% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise North Chemical's Downside Deviation of 3.87, mean deviation of 2.85, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1263 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to North Chemical's volatility include:
360 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 360 Days Economic Sensitivity |
North Chemical Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of North daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use North's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of North Chemical volatility.
North |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as North Chemical can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of North Chemical at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of North Chemical's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving together with North Stock
| 0.83 | 600019 | Baoshan Iron Steel | PairCorr |
| 0.84 | 002493 | Rongsheng Petrochemical | PairCorr |
| 0.93 | 600010 | Inner Mongolia BaoTou | PairCorr |
| 0.92 | 002460 | Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium | PairCorr |
| 0.84 | 603260 | Hoshine Silicon Ind | PairCorr |
| 0.88 | 600160 | Zhejiang Juhua | PairCorr |
Moving against North Stock
North Chemical Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
North Chemical's beta coefficient measures the volatility of North stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents North stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, North Chemical's beta of 0.57 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk North Chemical stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. North Chemical Industries shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure North Chemical's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact North Chemical's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze North Chemical Industries Demand TrendCheck current 90 days North Chemical correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)North Beta |
North standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 3.86 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by North Chemical's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of North Chemical's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in north stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in North Chemical.
North Chemical Industries Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which North Chemical stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with North Chemical's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of North Chemical's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of North Chemical's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures North Chemical's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict North Chemical's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for North Chemical's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on North Chemical's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. North Chemical Industries Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
North Chemical Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon North Chemical has a beta of 0.5662 . This suggests as returns on the market go up, North Chemical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding North Chemical Industries will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to North Chemical or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that North Chemical's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a North stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
North Chemical Industries has an alpha of 0.503, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a North Chemical Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.North Chemical Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of North Chemical is 699.67. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 14.89 and standard deviation of 3.86. The mean deviation of North Chemical Industries is currently at 2.89. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
North Chemical Stock Return Volatility
North Chemical historical daily return volatility represents how much of North Chemical stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 3.8593% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7462% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About North Chemical Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of North Chemical or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of North Chemical may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to North's beta indicator, it measures the risk of North Chemical and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of North Chemical fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize North Chemical's volatility to invest better
Higher North Chemical's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of North Chemical Industries stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. North Chemical Industries stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of North Chemical Industries investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in North Chemical's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of North Chemical's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
North Chemical Investment Opportunity
North Chemical Industries has a volatility of 3.86 and is 5.15 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 34 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than North Chemical. You can use North Chemical Industries to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of North Chemical to be traded at 12.03 in 90 days.Average diversification
The correlation between North Chemical Industries and DJI is 0.11 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding North Chemical Industries and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
North Chemical Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of North Chemical's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in North Chemical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of North Chemical stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1263 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.03 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.85 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.28 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.87 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 645.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.78 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
North Chemical Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against North Chemical as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. North Chemical's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, North Chemical's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to North Chemical Industries.
Complementary Tools for North Stock analysis
When running North Chemical's price analysis, check to measure North Chemical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy North Chemical is operating at the current time. Most of North Chemical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of North Chemical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move North Chemical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of North Chemical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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