Alior Bank (UK) Volatility
| 0QBM Stock | 79.50 0.00 0.00% |
We have found six technical indicators for Alior Bank SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Alior Bank's Market Facilitation Index of 16.38, accumulation distribution of 0.17, and Day Median Price of 87.69 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0%. Key indicators related to Alior Bank's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Alior Bank Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Alior daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Alior's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Alior Bank volatility.
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Alior Bank SA Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Alior Bank stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Alior Bank's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Alior Bank's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Alior Bank's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Alior Bank's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Alior Bank's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Alior Bank's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Alior Bank's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Alior Bank SA Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Alior Bank Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alior Bank has a beta that is very close to zero . This suggests the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and Alior Bank do not appear to be related.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alior Bank or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alior Bank's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alior stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
It does not look like Alior Bank's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation. Predicted Return Density |
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What Drives an Alior Bank Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Alior Bank Stock Return Volatility
Alior Bank historical daily return volatility represents how much of Alior Bank stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm accepts 0.0% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7796% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
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About Alior Bank Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Alior Bank or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Alior Bank may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Alior's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Alior Bank and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Alior Bank fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize Alior Bank's volatility to invest better
Higher Alior Bank's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Alior Bank SA stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Alior Bank SA stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Alior Bank SA investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Alior Bank's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Alior Bank's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Alior Bank Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.78 and is 9.223372036854776E16 times more volatile than Alior Bank SA. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Alior Bank SA is lower than 0 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Alior Bank SA to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . Check odds of Alior Bank to be traded at 78.71 in 90 days.Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Alior Bank Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Alior Bank as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Alior Bank's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Alior Bank's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Alior Bank SA.
Additional Tools for Alior Stock Analysis
When running Alior Bank's price analysis, check to measure Alior Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alior Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Alior Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alior Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alior Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alior Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.