Bpost NV (Germany) Volatility
| 13B Stock | EUR 2.22 0.01 0.45% |
Bpost NV appears to be risky, given 3 months investment horizon. bpost NV secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.19, which signifies that the company had a 0.19 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for bpost NV, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Bpost NV's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.127, semi deviation of 1.84, and Downside Deviation of 2.66 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
Sharpe Ratio = 0.1948
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Estimated Market Risk
| 2.37 actual daily | 21 79% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| 0.46 actual daily | 9 91% of assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| 0.19 actual daily | 15 85% of assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Bpost NV is performing at about 15% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Bpost NV by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Bpost NV's volatility include:90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Bpost NV Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Bpost daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Bpost's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Bpost NV volatility.
Bpost |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Bpost NV can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Bpost NV at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Bpost NV's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Main indicators related to Bpost NV's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta 0.39 | Alpha 0.33 | Risk 2.37 | Sharpe Ratio 0.19 | Expected Return 0.46 |
Moving together with Bpost Stock
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| 0.62 | GPT | Genuine Parts | PairCorr |
| 0.88 | G40 | GDS Holdings Limited | PairCorr |
| 0.74 | FV6 | EMMI N Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | 6FO | GOODTECH ASA A | PairCorr |
Moving against Bpost Stock
| 0.95 | BNB | BAYAN RESOURCES Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.9 | BNB | BAYAN RESOURCES Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.5 | 3IB | INDO TAMBANGRAYA | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | 8LU | TAURUS ENERGY AB | PairCorr |
| 0.31 | KMY | Kimberly Clark | PairCorr |
Bpost NV Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Bpost NV's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Bpost stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Bpost stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Bpost NV's beta of 0.39 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Bpost NV stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. bpost NV currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.13 and Jensen Alpha of 0.33. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Bpost NV's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Bpost NV's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze bpost NV Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Bpost NV correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Bpost NV Volatility and Downside Risk
Bpost standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
bpost NV Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Bpost NV stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Bpost NV's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Bpost NV's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Bpost NV's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Bpost NV's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Bpost NV's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Bpost NV's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Bpost NV's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. bpost NV Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Bpost NV Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bpost NV has a beta of 0.3875 . This suggests as returns on the market go up, Bpost NV average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding bpost NV will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Bpost NV or Air Freight & Logistics sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Bpost NV's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Bpost stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Bpost NV Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Bpost NV Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Bpost NV is 513.44. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 5.6 and standard deviation of 2.37. The mean deviation of bpost NV is currently at 1.69. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.79
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Bpost NV Stock Return Volatility
Bpost NV historical daily return volatility represents how much of Bpost NV stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 2.3658% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7472% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
Related Correlations Analysis
Correlation Matchups
Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.High positive correlations
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Risk-Adjusted Indicators
There is a big difference between Bpost Stock performing well and Bpost NV Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Bpost NV's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.| Mean Deviation | Jensen Alpha | Sortino Ratio | Treynor Ratio | Semi Deviation | Expected Shortfall | Potential Upside | Value @Risk | Maximum Drawdown | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRH | 0.80 | (0.02) | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 1.72 | 7.12 | |||
| KKS | 1.34 | (0.04) | 0.00 | (0.59) | 0.00 | 2.89 | 9.46 | |||
| 0ZQ | 3.51 | 0.64 | 0.13 | (0.49) | 3.70 | 7.60 | 24.32 | |||
| ROM | 1.70 | 0.32 | 0.14 | 1.16 | 1.82 | 3.96 | 13.31 | |||
| N9B | 1.60 | (0.18) | 0.00 | (0.87) | 0.00 | 4.13 | 14.66 | |||
| IDO1 | 4.81 | (0.25) | 0.00 | (0.06) | 0.00 | 10.00 | 53.77 | |||
| NVE | 1.33 | (0.01) | (0.02) | (0.04) | 1.63 | 3.25 | 11.40 | |||
| 0JM | 3.16 | 0.23 | 0.01 | 1.52 | 4.95 | 11.76 | 45.00 | |||
| TCID | 4.01 | 0.13 | 0.01 | 0.66 | 5.37 | 12.50 | 35.42 | |||
| HYB | 1.37 | 0.15 | 0.06 | (0.90) | 1.59 | 3.51 | 8.40 |
About Bpost NV Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Bpost NV or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Bpost NV may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Bpost's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Bpost NV and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Bpost NV fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.bpost SANV, together with its subsidiaries, provides mail and parcel services in Belgium and internationally. It serves big customers, private and public customers, self-employed workers, small and medium businesses, and residential customers, as well as customers using mass market channels, such as the post offices, the Post Points, point of sales of Ubiway, or the bposts e-Shop to purchase their mail, press, and other products. bpost SANV is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Germany.
Bpost NV's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Bpost Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Bpost NV's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Bpost NV's volatility to invest better
Higher Bpost NV's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of bpost NV stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. bpost NV stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of bpost NV investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Bpost NV's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Bpost NV's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Bpost NV Investment Opportunity
bpost NV has a volatility of 2.37 and is 3.16 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of bpost NV is lower than 21 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use bpost NV to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of Bpost NV to be traded at €2.33 in 90 days.Almost no diversification
The correlation between bpost NV and DJI is 0.9 (i.e., Almost no diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding bpost NV and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Bpost NV Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bpost NV's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bpost NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Bpost NV stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.127 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.9005 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 657.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.33 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Bpost NV Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Bpost NV as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Bpost NV's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Bpost NV's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to bpost NV.
Complementary Tools for Bpost Stock analysis
When running Bpost NV's price analysis, check to measure Bpost NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bpost NV is operating at the current time. Most of Bpost NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bpost NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bpost NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bpost NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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