Fortune Electric (Taiwan) Volatility

1519 Stock  TWD 568.00  46.00  8.81%   
At this stage we consider Fortune Stock to be very steady. Fortune Electric secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of close to zero, which denotes the company had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for Fortune Electric Co, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Fortune Electric's Mean Deviation of 2.24, variance of 8.85, and Standard Deviation of 2.98 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0288%. Key indicators related to Fortune Electric's volatility include:
180 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
180 Days Economic Sensitivity
Fortune Electric Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Fortune daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Fortune's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Fortune Electric volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Fortune Electric can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Fortune Electric at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Fortune stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Fortune Electric's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Fortune Stock

  0.762002 China Steel CorpPairCorr

Moving against Fortune Stock

  0.692891C CTBC Financial HoldingPairCorr
  0.682888 Shin Kong FinancialPairCorr
  0.652891B CTBC Financial HoldingPairCorr
  0.552891 CTBC Financial HoldingPairCorr
  0.342330 Taiwan SemiconductorPairCorr

Fortune Electric Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Fortune Electric's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Fortune stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Fortune stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Fortune Electric's beta of 0.53 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Fortune Electric stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Fortune Electric Co exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.26 and kurtosis of 1.0. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Fortune Electric's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Fortune Electric's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Fortune Electric Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Fortune Electric correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Fortune Beta

    
  0.53  
Fortune standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.95  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Fortune Electric's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Fortune Electric's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in fortune stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Fortune Electric.

Fortune Electric Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Fortune Electric stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Fortune Electric's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Fortune Electric's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Fortune Electric's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Fortune Electric's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Fortune Electric's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Fortune Electric's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Fortune Electric's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Fortune Electric Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Fortune Electric Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fortune Electric has a beta of 0.5318 . This suggests as returns on the market go up, Fortune Electric average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fortune Electric Co will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Fortune Electric or Electrical Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Fortune Electric's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Fortune stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Fortune Electric Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Fortune Electric's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how fortune stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Fortune Electric Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Fortune Electric Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Fortune Electric is 10247.93. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 8.72 and standard deviation of 2.95. The mean deviation of Fortune Electric Co is currently at 2.18. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.85
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.53
σ
Overall volatility
2.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Fortune Electric Stock Return Volatility

Fortune Electric historical daily return volatility represents how much of Fortune Electric stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The venture accepts 2.9527% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8662% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Fortune Electric Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Fortune Electric or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Fortune Electric may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Fortune's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Fortune Electric and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Fortune Electric fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Fortune Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells transformers in Taiwan, the United States, and Canada. Fortune Electric Co., Ltd. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Taoyuan, Taiwan. FORTUNE ELECTRIC operates under Diversified Industrials classification in Taiwan and is traded on Taiwan Stock Exchange.
Fortune Electric's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Fortune Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Fortune Electric's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Fortune Electric's volatility to invest better

Higher Fortune Electric's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Fortune Electric stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Fortune Electric stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Fortune Electric investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Fortune Electric's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Fortune Electric's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Fortune Electric Investment Opportunity

Fortune Electric Co has a volatility of 2.95 and is 3.39 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Fortune Electric Co is lower than 26 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Fortune Electric Co to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Fortune Electric to be traded at NT$710.0 in 90 days.

Average diversification

The correlation between Fortune Electric Co and DJI is 0.15 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Fortune Electric Co and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Fortune Electric Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fortune Electric's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fortune Electric's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Fortune Electric stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Fortune Electric Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Fortune Electric as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Fortune Electric's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Fortune Electric's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Fortune Electric Co.

Additional Tools for Fortune Stock Analysis

When running Fortune Electric's price analysis, check to measure Fortune Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fortune Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Fortune Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fortune Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fortune Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fortune Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.