159783 (China) Volatility
| 159783 Etf | 0.56 0.01 1.75% |
159783 appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. 159783 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.13, which signifies that the etf had a 0.13% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. By evaluating 159783's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.62% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of 159783's Coefficient Of Variation of 916.6, market risk adjusted performance of (1.15), and Standard Deviation of 4.56 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
159783 |
159783 Etf volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of 159783 daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use 159783's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of 159783 volatility.
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with 159783. They may decide to buy additional shares of 159783 at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
159783 Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
159783's beta coefficient measures the volatility of 159783 etf compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents 159783 etf's returns against your selected market. In other words, 159783's beta of -0.42 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk 159783 etf can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. 159783 shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. 159783 is a potential penny etf. Although 159783 may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny etfs are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in 159783. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on 159783 instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny etfs that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze 159783 Demand TrendCheck current 90 days 159783 correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)159783 Beta |
159783 standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 4.87 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by 159783's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of 159783's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in 159783 etf tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in 159783.
159783 Etf Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which 159783 etf price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with 159783's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of 159783's etf to predict their future moves. A etf that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A etf with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile etf is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of 159783's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of etf volatility measures 159783's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict 159783's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the etf.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for 159783's current market price. This means that the etf will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on 159783's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. 159783 Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
159783 Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 159783 has a beta of -0.4216 . This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 159783 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, 159783 is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to 159783 or 159783 sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that 159783's price will be affected by overall etf market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a 159783 etf's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
159783 has an alpha of 0.5377, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a 159783 Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a etf's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.159783 Etf Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of 159783 is 791.18. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 23.76 and standard deviation of 4.87. The mean deviation of 159783 is currently at 2.9. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
159783 Etf Return Volatility
159783 historical daily return volatility represents how much of 159783 etf's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The ETF accepts 4.8745% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7777% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
159783 Investment Opportunity
159783 has a volatility of 4.87 and is 6.24 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 43 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than 159783. You can use 159783 to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The etf experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of 159783 to be traded at 0.5432 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between 159783 and DJI is -0.07 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding 159783 and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
159783 Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of 159783's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 159783's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of 159783 etf's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0917 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (1.15) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.54 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.22 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 916.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.56 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential etfs, we recommend comparing similar etfs with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
159783 Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against 159783 as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. 159783's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, 159783's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to 159783.