WH Smith (Germany) Volatility
| 21Q Stock | 7.70 0.05 0.65% |
WH Smith appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. WH Smith PLC retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0852, which attests that the company had a 0.0852 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for WH Smith, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please utilize WH Smith's market risk adjusted performance of (0.64), and Standard Deviation of 2.43 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
Sharpe Ratio = 0.0852
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| Small Returns | 21Q | |||
| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
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Estimated Market Risk
| 2.5 actual daily | 22 78% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| 0.21 actual daily | 4 96% of assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| 0.09 actual daily | 6 94% of assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average WH Smith is performing at about 6% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of WH Smith by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to WH Smith's volatility include:90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
WH Smith Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of 21Q daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use 21Q's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of WH Smith volatility.
21Q |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as WH Smith can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of WH Smith at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of WH Smith's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Main indicators related to WH Smith's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta (0.24) | Alpha 0.17 | Risk 2.5 | Sharpe Ratio 0.0852 | Expected Return 0.21 |
Moving together with 21Q Stock
Moving against 21Q Stock
| 0.57 | K9R | KENEDIX OFFICE INV | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | O2F | ORIX JREIT INC | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | 8UT | JAPAN LOGISTICS FUND | PairCorr |
| 0.48 | 0S2 | UNITED URBAN INV | PairCorr |
| 0.4 | JUA | Japan Real Estate | PairCorr |
WH Smith Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
WH Smith's beta coefficient measures the volatility of 21Q stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents 21Q stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, WH Smith's beta of -0.24 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk WH Smith stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. WH Smith PLC currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.04 and Jensen Alpha of 0.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure WH Smith's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact WH Smith's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze WH Smith PLC Demand TrendCheck current 90 days WH Smith correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)WH Smith Volatility and Downside Risk
21Q standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
WH Smith PLC Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which WH Smith stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with WH Smith's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of WH Smith's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of WH Smith's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures WH Smith's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict WH Smith's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for WH Smith's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on WH Smith's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. WH Smith PLC Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
WH Smith Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon WH Smith PLC has a beta of -0.2391 . This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding WH Smith are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, WH Smith PLC is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to WH Smith or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that WH Smith's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a 21Q stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a WH Smith Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.WH Smith Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of WH Smith is 1173.57. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 6.23 and standard deviation of 2.5. The mean deviation of WH Smith PLC is currently at 1.85. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.81
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
WH Smith Stock Return Volatility
WH Smith historical daily return volatility represents how much of WH Smith stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 2.4963% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.764% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
Related Correlations Analysis
| 0.44 | -0.17 | -0.47 | -0.32 | -0.7 | WAZ | ||
| 0.44 | 0.45 | -0.25 | 0.14 | -0.29 | AOS | ||
| -0.17 | 0.45 | -0.01 | 0.86 | 0.55 | YAR | ||
| -0.47 | -0.25 | -0.01 | 0.2 | 0.52 | FQI | ||
| -0.32 | 0.14 | 0.86 | 0.2 | 0.77 | 34U | ||
| -0.7 | -0.29 | 0.55 | 0.52 | 0.77 | 54E | ||
Correlation Matchups
Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.High positive correlations
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Risk-Adjusted Indicators
There is a big difference between 21Q Stock performing well and WH Smith Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze WH Smith's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.| Mean Deviation | Jensen Alpha | Sortino Ratio | Treynor Ratio | Semi Deviation | Expected Shortfall | Potential Upside | Value @Risk | Maximum Drawdown | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAZ | 1.42 | (0.24) | 0.00 | (1.27) | 0.00 | 2.91 | 18.26 | |||
| AOS | 1.42 | (0.37) | 0.00 | (0.51) | 0.00 | 2.09 | 9.11 | |||
| YAR | 1.82 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.20 | 2.05 | 3.77 | 13.11 | |||
| FQI | 1.21 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.17 | 1.53 | 2.03 | 5.75 | |||
| 34U | 1.45 | 0.32 | 0.17 | 0.94 | 1.34 | 3.59 | 7.87 | |||
| 54E | 1.52 | 0.31 | 0.12 | 1.04 | 1.58 | 3.05 | 7.42 |
About WH Smith Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of WH Smith or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of WH Smith may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to 21Q's beta indicator, it measures the risk of WH Smith and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of WH Smith fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize WH Smith's volatility to invest better
Higher WH Smith's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of WH Smith PLC stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. WH Smith PLC stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of WH Smith PLC investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in WH Smith's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of WH Smith's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
WH Smith Investment Opportunity
WH Smith PLC has a volatility of 2.5 and is 3.29 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of WH Smith PLC is lower than 22 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use WH Smith PLC to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of WH Smith to be traded at 7.55 in 90 days.Very weak diversification
The correlation between WH Smith PLC and DJI is 0.42 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding WH Smith PLC and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
WH Smith Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of WH Smith's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WH Smith's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of WH Smith stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0613 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.64) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.31 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1476.86 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.43 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
WH Smith Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against WH Smith as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. WH Smith's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, WH Smith's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to WH Smith PLC.
Complementary Tools for 21Q Stock analysis
When running WH Smith's price analysis, check to measure WH Smith's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy WH Smith is operating at the current time. Most of WH Smith's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of WH Smith's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move WH Smith's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of WH Smith to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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