Ningbo Construction (China) Volatility
| 601789 Stock | 4.13 0.03 0.72% |
At this point, Ningbo Construction is relatively risky. Ningbo Construction has Sharpe Ratio of close to zero, which conveys that the firm had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Ningbo Construction, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Ningbo Construction's Mean Deviation of 2.55, risk adjusted performance of 0.0229, and Downside Deviation of 3.01 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0048%. Key indicators related to Ningbo Construction's volatility include:
180 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 180 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Ningbo Construction Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Ningbo daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Ningbo's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Ningbo Construction volatility.
Ningbo |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Ningbo Construction can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Ningbo Construction at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Ningbo Construction's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving against Ningbo Stock
Ningbo Construction Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Ningbo Construction's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Ningbo stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Ningbo stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Ningbo Construction's beta of 0.39 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Ningbo Construction stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Ningbo Construction Co shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ningbo Construction's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ningbo Construction's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Ningbo Construction Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Ningbo Construction correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Ningbo Beta |
Ningbo standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 3.57 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Ningbo Construction's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Ningbo Construction's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in ningbo stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Ningbo Construction.
Ningbo Construction Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Ningbo Construction stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Ningbo Construction's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Ningbo Construction's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Ningbo Construction's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Ningbo Construction's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Ningbo Construction's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Ningbo Construction's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Ningbo Construction's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Ningbo Construction Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Ningbo Construction Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ningbo Construction has a beta of 0.3918 . This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ningbo Construction average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ningbo Construction Co will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ningbo Construction or Construction & Engineering sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ningbo Construction's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ningbo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Ningbo Construction Co has an alpha of 0.0385, implying that it can generate a 0.0385 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Ningbo Construction Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Ningbo Construction Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Ningbo Construction is 73693.29. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 12.75 and standard deviation of 3.57. The mean deviation of Ningbo Construction Co is currently at 2.57. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.85
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Ningbo Construction Stock Return Volatility
Ningbo Construction historical daily return volatility represents how much of Ningbo Construction stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 3.57% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8662% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Ningbo Construction Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Ningbo Construction or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Ningbo Construction may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Ningbo's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Ningbo Construction and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Ningbo Construction fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize Ningbo Construction's volatility to invest better
Higher Ningbo Construction's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Ningbo Construction stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Ningbo Construction stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Ningbo Construction investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Ningbo Construction's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Ningbo Construction's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Ningbo Construction Investment Opportunity
Ningbo Construction Co has a volatility of 3.57 and is 4.1 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 31 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Ningbo Construction. You can use Ningbo Construction Co to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of Ningbo Construction to be traded at 4.05 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between Ningbo Construction Co and DJI is 0.09 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ningbo Construction Co and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Ningbo Construction Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ningbo Construction's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ningbo Construction's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Ningbo Construction stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0229 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1464 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.55 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.83 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.01 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 5546.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.52 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Ningbo Construction Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Ningbo Construction as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Ningbo Construction's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Ningbo Construction's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Ningbo Construction Co.
Complementary Tools for Ningbo Stock analysis
When running Ningbo Construction's price analysis, check to measure Ningbo Construction's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ningbo Construction is operating at the current time. Most of Ningbo Construction's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ningbo Construction's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ningbo Construction's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ningbo Construction to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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