Addex Therapeutics Stock Volatility

ADXN Stock  USD 8.62  0.16  1.82%   
Addex Therapeutics secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0263, which signifies that the company had a -0.0263% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Addex Therapeutics exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Addex Therapeutics' mean deviation of 4.61, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0549 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Addex Therapeutics' volatility include:
450 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
450 Days Economic Sensitivity
Addex Therapeutics Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Addex daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Addex's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Addex Therapeutics volatility.
  

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Addex Therapeutics' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Addex Therapeutics' managers and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

Addex Therapeutics Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Addex Therapeutics stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Addex Therapeutics' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Addex Therapeutics' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Addex Therapeutics' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Addex Therapeutics' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Addex Therapeutics' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Addex Therapeutics' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Addex Therapeutics' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Addex Therapeutics Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Addex Therapeutics Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.0022 . This suggests Addex Therapeutics market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Addex Therapeutics is expected to follow.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Addex Therapeutics or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Addex Therapeutics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Addex stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Addex Therapeutics has an alpha of 0.36, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Addex Therapeutics' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how addex stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Addex Therapeutics Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Addex Therapeutics Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Addex Therapeutics is -3798.88. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 26.37 and standard deviation of 5.14. The mean deviation of Addex Therapeutics is currently at 3.74. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.00
σ
Overall volatility
5.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Addex Therapeutics Stock Return Volatility

Addex Therapeutics historical daily return volatility represents how much of Addex Therapeutics stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 5.1352% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7734% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Addex Therapeutics Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Addex Therapeutics or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Addex Therapeutics may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Addex's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Addex Therapeutics and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Addex Therapeutics fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Market Cap3.4 M3.2 M
Addex Therapeutics' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Addex Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Addex Therapeutics' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Addex Therapeutics' volatility to invest better

Higher Addex Therapeutics' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Addex Therapeutics stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Addex Therapeutics stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Addex Therapeutics investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Addex Therapeutics' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Addex Therapeutics' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Addex Therapeutics Investment Opportunity

Addex Therapeutics has a volatility of 5.14 and is 6.68 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 45 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Addex Therapeutics. You can use Addex Therapeutics to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of Addex Therapeutics to be traded at $8.36 in 90 days.

Significant diversification

The correlation between Addex Therapeutics and DJI is 0.09 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Addex Therapeutics and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Addex Therapeutics Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Addex Therapeutics' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Addex Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Addex Therapeutics stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Addex Therapeutics Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Addex Therapeutics as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Addex Therapeutics' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Addex Therapeutics' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Addex Therapeutics.
When determining whether Addex Therapeutics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Addex Therapeutics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Addex Therapeutics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Addex Therapeutics Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Addex Therapeutics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.
To learn how to invest in Addex Stock, please use our How to Invest in Addex Therapeutics guide.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Addex Therapeutics. If investors know Addex will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Addex Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(21.60)
Revenue Per Share
1.2
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.82)
Return On Assets
(0.62)
Return On Equity
(1.26)
The market value of Addex Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Addex that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Addex Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Addex Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Addex Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Addex Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Addex Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Addex Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Addex Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.