Alligator Energy Limited Stock Volatility

ALGEF Stock  USD 0.03  0.0002  0.81%   
Alligator Energy secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0355, which signifies that the company had a -0.0355% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Alligator Energy Limited exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Alligator Energy's Mean Deviation of 4.98, downside deviation of 14.54, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0219 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Alligator Energy's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Alligator Energy Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Alligator daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Alligator's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Alligator Energy volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Alligator Energy can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Alligator Energy at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Alligator Energy's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.

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Alligator Energy Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Alligator Energy's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Alligator pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Alligator pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Alligator Energy's beta of 0.71 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Alligator Energy pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Alligator Energy Limited is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Alligator Energy Limited is a penny stock. Although Alligator Energy may be in fact a good investment, many penny pink sheets are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Alligator Energy Limited. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Alligator instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Alligator Energy Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Alligator Energy correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Alligator Beta

    
  0.71  
Alligator standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  9.22  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Alligator Energy's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Alligator Energy's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in alligator pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Alligator Energy.

Alligator Energy Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Alligator Energy pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Alligator Energy's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Alligator Energy's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Alligator Energy's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of pink sheet volatility measures Alligator Energy's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Alligator Energy's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Alligator Energy's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Alligator Energy's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Alligator Energy Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Alligator Energy Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Alligator Energy has a beta of 0.7057 . This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alligator Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alligator Energy Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alligator Energy or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alligator Energy's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alligator pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Alligator Energy Limited has an alpha of 0.0628, implying that it can generate a 0.0628 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Alligator Energy's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how alligator pink sheet's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Alligator Energy Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Alligator Energy Pink Sheet Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Alligator Energy is -2815.52. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 84.92 and standard deviation of 9.22. The mean deviation of Alligator Energy Limited is currently at 4.84. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.71
σ
Overall volatility
9.22
Ir
Information ratio 0

Alligator Energy Pink Sheet Return Volatility

Alligator Energy historical daily return volatility represents how much of Alligator Energy pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 9.2153% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7777% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Alligator Energy Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Alligator Energy or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Alligator Energy may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Alligator's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Alligator Energy and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Alligator Energy fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Alligator Energy Limited engages in the mineral exploration activities in Australia and Italy. Alligator Energy Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia. Alligator Energy operates under Other Industrial Metals Mining classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.
Alligator Energy's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Alligator Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Alligator Energy's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Alligator Energy's volatility to invest better

Higher Alligator Energy's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Alligator Energy stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Alligator Energy stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Alligator Energy investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Alligator Energy's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Alligator Energy's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Alligator Energy Investment Opportunity

Alligator Energy Limited has a volatility of 9.22 and is 11.82 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Alligator Energy Limited is higher than 82 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Alligator Energy Limited to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The pink sheet experiences a moderate upward volatility. Check odds of Alligator Energy to be traded at $0.0275 in 90 days.

Significant diversification

The correlation between Alligator Energy Limited and DJI is 0.06 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Alligator Energy Limited and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Alligator Energy Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Alligator Energy's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alligator Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Alligator Energy pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Alligator Energy Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Alligator Energy as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Alligator Energy's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Alligator Energy's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Alligator Energy Limited.

Complementary Tools for Alligator Pink Sheet analysis

When running Alligator Energy's price analysis, check to measure Alligator Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alligator Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Alligator Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alligator Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alligator Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alligator Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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