Les Hotels (France) Volatility
| ALLHB Stock | EUR 71.00 0.50 0.70% |
Currently, Les Hotels Bav is very steady. Les Hotels Bav has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0101, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0101% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Les Hotels, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Les Hotels' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0141, downside deviation of 3.84, and Mean Deviation of 0.7304 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0215%. Key indicators related to Les Hotels' volatility include:
570 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 570 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Les Hotels Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Les daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Les's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Les Hotels volatility.
Les |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Les Hotels can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Les Hotels at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Les stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Les Hotels' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Les Hotels Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Les Hotels' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Les stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Les stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Les Hotels's beta of -0.74 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Les Hotels stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Les Hotels Bav shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Les Hotels' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Les Hotels' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Les Hotels Bav Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Les Hotels correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Les Beta |
Les standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.12 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Les Hotels's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Les Hotels' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in les stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Les Hotels.
Les Hotels Bav Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Les Hotels stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Les Hotels' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Les Hotels' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Les Hotels' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Les Hotels' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Les Hotels' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Les Hotels' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Les Hotels' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Les Hotels Bav Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Les Hotels Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Les Hotels Bav has a beta of -0.7366 . This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Les Hotels are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Les Hotels Bav is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Les Hotels or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Les Hotels' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Les stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Les Hotels Bav has an alpha of 0.1004, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Les Hotels Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Les Hotels Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Les Hotels is 9879.08. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 4.5 and standard deviation of 2.12. The mean deviation of Les Hotels Bav is currently at 0.73. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Les Hotels Stock Return Volatility
Les Hotels historical daily return volatility represents how much of Les Hotels stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The enterprise accepts 2.1216% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7626% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Les Hotels Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Les Hotels or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Les Hotels may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Les's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Les Hotels and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Les Hotels fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Les Htels Baverez S.A. owns and operates 5-star hotels in Paris. It operates three hotels, including Hotel Regina Hotel Raphael and Majestic Htel-Spa. Les Htels operates under Lodging classification in France and is traded on Paris Stock Exchange. It employs 276 people.
Les Hotels' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Les Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Les Hotels' price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Les Hotels' volatility to invest better
Higher Les Hotels' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Les Hotels Bav stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Les Hotels Bav stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Les Hotels Bav investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Les Hotels' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Les Hotels' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Les Hotels Investment Opportunity
Les Hotels Bav has a volatility of 2.12 and is 2.79 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 18 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Les Hotels. You can use Les Hotels Bav to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of Les Hotels to be traded at €69.58 in 90 days.Very good diversification
The correlation between Les Hotels Bav and DJI is -0.27 (i.e., Very good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Les Hotels Bav and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Les Hotels Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Les Hotels' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Les Hotels' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Les Hotels stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0141 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.7304 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.84 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 9878.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.12 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Les Hotels Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Les Hotels as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Les Hotels' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Les Hotels' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Les Hotels Bav.
Additional Tools for Les Stock Analysis
When running Les Hotels' price analysis, check to measure Les Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Les Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of Les Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Les Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Les Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Les Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.