Astrana Health Stock Volatility

ASTH Stock   44.81  1.56  3.61%   
Astrana Health secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0025, which signifies that the company had a -0.0025% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Astrana Health exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Astrana Health's Mean Deviation of 1.99, standard deviation of 3.52, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0027 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Astrana Health's volatility include:
540 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
540 Days Economic Sensitivity
Astrana Health Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Astrana daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Astrana's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Astrana Health volatility.
  

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Astrana Health's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Astrana Health's managers and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Astrana Health at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Astrana stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.

Moving against Astrana Stock

  0.82GH Guardant HealthPairCorr
  0.79LH LaboratoryPairCorr
  0.73ENOV Enovis CorpPairCorr
  0.65DXCM DexCom IncPairCorr
  0.64VREX Varex Imaging CorpPairCorr
  0.58OM Outset MedicalPairCorr
  0.53VEEV Veeva Systems Class Earnings Call TomorrowPairCorr
  0.49DOCS DoximityPairCorr
  0.49VVOS Vivos TherapeuticsPairCorr

Astrana Health Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Astrana Health's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Astrana stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Astrana stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Astrana Health's beta of 1.16 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Astrana Health stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Astrana Health exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.08 and kurtosis of 17.43. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Astrana Health's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Astrana Health's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Astrana Health Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Astrana Health correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Astrana Beta

    
  1.16  
Astrana standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  3.57  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Astrana Health's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Astrana Health's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in astrana stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Astrana Health.

Astrana Health Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Astrana Health stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Astrana Health's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Astrana Health's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Astrana Health's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Astrana Health's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Astrana Health's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Astrana Health's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Astrana Health's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Astrana Health Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Astrana Health Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.1613 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Astrana Health will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Astrana Health or Health Care Providers & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Astrana Health's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Astrana stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Astrana Health has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Astrana Health's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how astrana stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Astrana Health Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Astrana Health Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Astrana Health is -39783.58. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 12.78 and standard deviation of 3.57. The mean deviation of Astrana Health is currently at 2.02. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.16
σ
Overall volatility
3.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Astrana Health Stock Return Volatility

Astrana Health historical daily return volatility represents how much of Astrana Health stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 3.5749% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7522% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Astrana Health Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Astrana Health or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Astrana Health may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Astrana's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Astrana Health and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Astrana Health fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Market Cap1.8 BB
Astrana Health's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Astrana Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Astrana Health's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Astrana Health's volatility to invest better

Higher Astrana Health's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Astrana Health stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Astrana Health stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Astrana Health investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Astrana Health's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Astrana Health's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Astrana Health Investment Opportunity

Astrana Health has a volatility of 3.57 and is 4.76 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 31 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Astrana Health. You can use Astrana Health to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of Astrana Health to be traded at 53.77 in 90 days.

Modest diversification

The correlation between Astrana Health and DJI is 0.25 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Astrana Health and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Astrana Health Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Astrana Health's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Astrana Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Astrana Health stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Astrana Health Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Astrana Health as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Astrana Health's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Astrana Health's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Astrana Health.

Complementary Tools for Astrana Stock analysis

When running Astrana Health's price analysis, check to measure Astrana Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Astrana Health is operating at the current time. Most of Astrana Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Astrana Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Astrana Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Astrana Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios