The Brown Capital Fund Volatility

BCSVX Fund  USD 24.11  0.15  0.62%   
Brown Capital owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0042, which indicates the fund had a -0.0042% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. The Brown Capital exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate The Brown's Semi Deviation of 0.6366, risk adjusted performance of 0.0094, and Coefficient Of Variation of 8445.85 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to The Brown's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
The Brown Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of THE daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use THE's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of The Brown volatility.
  
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with The Brown. They may decide to buy additional shares of The Brown at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.

Moving together with THE Mutual Fund

  0.77BCIIX Brown CapitalPairCorr
  0.77BCISX Brown CapitalPairCorr

The Brown Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

The Brown's beta coefficient measures the volatility of THE mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents THE mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, The Brown's beta of 0.41 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk The Brown mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. The Brown Capital exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.82 and kurtosis of 0.61. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure The Brown's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact The Brown's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Brown Capital Demand Trend
Check current 90 days The Brown correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

THE Beta

    
  0.41  
THE standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  0.79  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by The Brown's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of The Brown's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in the mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in The Brown.

Brown Capital Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which The Brown fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with The Brown's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of The Brown's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of The Brown's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of fund volatility measures The Brown's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict The Brown's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for The Brown's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on The Brown's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Brown Capital Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

The Brown Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon The Brown has a beta of 0.4132 suggesting as returns on the market go up, The Brown average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Brown Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to The Brown or Brown Capital Management sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that The Brown's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a THE fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The Brown Capital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
The Brown's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how the mutual fund's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a The Brown Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

The Brown Mutual Fund Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of The Brown is -23547.43. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.62 and standard deviation of 0.79. The mean deviation of The Brown Capital is currently at 0.61. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

The Brown Mutual Fund Return Volatility

The Brown historical daily return volatility represents how much of The Brown fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 0.7861% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7626% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About The Brown Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of The Brown or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of The Brown may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to THE's beta indicator, it measures the risk of The Brown and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of The Brown fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in the equity securities of non-U.S. based companies with total operating revenues of 500 million or less at the time of the initial investment. The Advisor constructs the funds portfolio to generally be no more than 5 percent in cash. The Advisor believes a diversified portfolio of 40-65 securities and their research efforts may, collective, reduce portfolio risk.
The Brown's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on THE Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much The Brown's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize The Brown's volatility to invest better

Higher The Brown's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Brown Capital fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Brown Capital fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Brown Capital investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in The Brown's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of The Brown's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

The Brown Investment Opportunity

The Brown Capital has a volatility of 0.79 and is 1.04 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 7 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than The Brown. You can use The Brown Capital to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The mutual fund experiences a moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of The Brown to be traded at $23.63 in 90 days.

Very weak diversification

The correlation between The Brown Capital and DJI is 0.4 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding The Brown Capital and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

The Brown Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of The Brown's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in The Brown's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of The Brown mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

The Brown Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against The Brown as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. The Brown's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, The Brown's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to The Brown Capital.

Other Information on Investing in THE Mutual Fund

The Brown financial ratios help investors to determine whether THE Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in THE with respect to the benefits of owning The Brown security.
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