Qilian International Holding Stock Volatility
| BGM Stock | 8.82 1.62 22.50% |
Qilian International appears to be moderately volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Qilian International maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0423, which implies the firm had a 0.0423% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Qilian International, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate Qilian International's Semi Deviation of 3.82, risk adjusted performance of 0.0908, and Coefficient Of Variation of 929.98 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Qilian International's volatility include:
540 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 540 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Qilian International Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Qilian daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Qilian's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Qilian International volatility.
Qilian |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Qilian International can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Qilian International at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Qilian stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Qilian International's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving against Qilian Stock
Qilian International Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Qilian International's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Qilian stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Qilian stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Qilian International's beta of -0.61 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Qilian International stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Qilian International Holding shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Qilian International's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Qilian International's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Qilian International Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Qilian International correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Qilian Beta |
Qilian standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 4.81 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Qilian International's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Qilian International's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in qilian stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Qilian International.
Qilian International Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Qilian International stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Qilian International's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Qilian International's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Qilian International's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Qilian International's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Qilian International's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Qilian International's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Qilian International's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Qilian International Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Qilian International Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Qilian International Holding has a beta of -0.6094 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Qilian International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Qilian International Holding is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Qilian International or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Qilian International's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Qilian stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Qilian International Holding has an alpha of 0.5833, implying that it can generate a 0.58 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Qilian International Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Qilian International Stock Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Qilian International is 2364.86. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 23.11 and standard deviation of 4.81. The mean deviation of Qilian International Holding is currently at 2.88. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Qilian International Stock Return Volatility
Qilian International historical daily return volatility represents how much of Qilian International stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm has volatility of 4.8073% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7444% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Qilian International Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Qilian International or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Qilian International may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Qilian's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Qilian International and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Qilian International fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize Qilian International's volatility to invest better
Higher Qilian International's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Qilian International stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Qilian International stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Qilian International investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Qilian International's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Qilian International's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Qilian International Investment Opportunity
Qilian International Holding has a volatility of 4.81 and is 6.5 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Qilian International Holding is lower than 42 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Qilian International Holding to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Qilian International to be traded at 11.03 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Qilian International Holding and DJI is -0.1 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Qilian International Holding and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Qilian International Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Qilian International's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Qilian International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Qilian International stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0908 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.83) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.82 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.21 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 929.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.86 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Qilian International Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
| Bank of America vs. Qilian International | ||
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| Alphabet vs. Qilian International | ||
| Microsoft vs. Qilian International | ||
| Visa vs. Qilian International | ||
| Ford vs. Qilian International | ||
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Qilian International as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Qilian International's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Qilian International's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Qilian International Holding.
When determining whether Qilian International is a strong investment it is important to analyze Qilian International's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Qilian International's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Qilian Stock, refer to the following important reports: Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Qilian International Holding. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Qilian International. If investors know Qilian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Qilian International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.10) | Revenue Per Share 4.178 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.57) | Return On Assets (0.04) | Return On Equity (0.17) |
The market value of Qilian International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Qilian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Qilian International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Qilian International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Qilian International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Qilian International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Qilian International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Qilian International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Qilian International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.