Bluegreen Vacations Holding Volatility

BVHDelisted Stock  USD 36.45  0.37  1.00%   
We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Bluegreen Vacations Holding, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Bluegreen Vacations' Mean Deviation of 2.02, risk adjusted performance of 0.1014, and Downside Deviation of 3.07 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0%. Key indicators related to Bluegreen Vacations' volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
720 Days Economic Sensitivity
Bluegreen Vacations Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Bluegreen daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Bluegreen's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Bluegreen Vacations volatility.
  
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Bluegreen Vacations at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Bluegreen stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.

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Bluegreen Vacations Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Bluegreen Vacations' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Bluegreen stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Bluegreen stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Bluegreen Vacations's beta of 1.31 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Bluegreen Vacations stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Bluegreen Vacations Holding shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Bluegreen Vacations' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Bluegreen Vacations' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Bluegreen Vacations Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Bluegreen Vacations correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Bluegreen Beta

    
  1.31  
Bluegreen standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  0.0  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Bluegreen Vacations's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Bluegreen Vacations' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in bluegreen stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Bluegreen Vacations.

Bluegreen Vacations Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Bluegreen Vacations delisted stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Bluegreen Vacations' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Bluegreen Vacations' stock to predict their future moves. A delisted stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile delisted stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Bluegreen Vacations' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of delisted stock volatility measures Bluegreen Vacations' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Bluegreen Vacations' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Bluegreen Vacations' current market price. This means that the delisted stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Bluegreen Vacations' to be redeemed at a future date.
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Bluegreen Vacations Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.3143 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Bluegreen Vacations will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Bluegreen Vacations or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Bluegreen Vacations' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Bluegreen delisted stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Bluegreen Vacations Holding has an alpha of 0.2255, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Bluegreen Vacations' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how bluegreen stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Bluegreen Vacations Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a delisted stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Bluegreen Vacations Stock Return Volatility

Bluegreen Vacations historical daily return volatility represents how much of Bluegreen Vacations delisted stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm has volatility of 0.0% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7685% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Bluegreen Vacations Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Bluegreen Vacations or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Bluegreen Vacations may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Bluegreen's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Bluegreen Vacations and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Bluegreen Vacations fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Bluegreen Vacations Holding Corporation operates as a vacation ownership company. The company was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida. Bluegreen Vacations operates under Resorts Casinos classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 5586 people.
Bluegreen Vacations' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Bluegreen Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Bluegreen Vacations' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Bluegreen Vacations' volatility to invest better

Higher Bluegreen Vacations' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Bluegreen Vacations stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Bluegreen Vacations stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Bluegreen Vacations investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Bluegreen Vacations' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Bluegreen Vacations' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Bluegreen Vacations Investment Opportunity

Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.77 and is 9.223372036854776E16 times more volatile than Bluegreen Vacations Holding. 0 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Bluegreen Vacations. You can use Bluegreen Vacations Holding to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of Bluegreen Vacations to be traded at $35.72 in 90 days.

Weak diversification

The correlation between Bluegreen Vacations Holding and DJI is 0.34 (i.e., Weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Bluegreen Vacations Holding and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Bluegreen Vacations Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bluegreen Vacations' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bluegreen Vacations' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Bluegreen Vacations stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar delisted stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Bluegreen Vacations Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Bluegreen Vacations as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Bluegreen Vacations' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Bluegreen Vacations' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Bluegreen Vacations Holding.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Other Consideration for investing in Bluegreen Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Bluegreen Vacations check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Bluegreen Vacations' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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