Capitan Mining Stock Volatility

CAPTF Stock  USD 1.53  0.04  2.55%   
Capitan Mining appears to be extremely dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. Capitan Mining secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.1, which signifies that the company had a 0.1 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Capitan Mining's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.51% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Capitan Mining's Mean Deviation of 3.93, downside deviation of 5.73, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0697 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1012

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Based on monthly moving average Capitan Mining is performing at about 8% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Capitan Mining by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Capitan Mining's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Capitan Mining Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Capitan daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Capitan's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Capitan Mining volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Capitan Mining can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Capitan Mining at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Capitan Mining's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Main indicators related to Capitan Mining's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
2.23
Alpha
0.27
Risk
5.07
Sharpe Ratio
0.1
Expected Return
0.51

Moving together with Capitan Pink Sheet

  0.84AGPPF Anglo American PlatinumPairCorr
  0.86ANGPY Valterra PlatinumPairCorr
  0.82IMPUY Impala Platinum HoldingsPairCorr
  0.76IMPUF Impala Platinum HoldingsPairCorr
  0.82BVN Compania de MinasPairCorr
  0.88TFPM Triple Flag PreciousPairCorr
  0.87FNLPF Fresnillo PLCPairCorr
  0.71PPTA Perpetua Resources CorpPairCorr
  0.78EXK Endeavour Silver Corp Aggressive PushPairCorr
  0.83SMEGF Siemens Energy AGPairCorr
  0.65NKRKY Nokian Tyres PlcPairCorr
  0.64POWW Ammo IncPairCorr
  0.66DAC DanaosPairCorr
  0.86NHPAP National HealthcarePairCorr
  0.78RMGGF Resolute MiningPairCorr
  0.82EBRZF EnbridgePairCorr
  0.76DVNHF Frontier ServicesPairCorr
  0.8NTR NutrienPairCorr

Moving against Capitan Pink Sheet

  0.66SIGL Signal AdvancePairCorr
  0.45HNRC Houston Natural ResourcesPairCorr

Capitan Mining Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Capitan Mining's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Capitan pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Capitan pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Capitan Mining's beta of 2.23 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Capitan Mining pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Capitan Mining exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Capitan Mining's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Capitan Mining's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Check current 90 days Capitan Mining correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.27   β2.23
3 Months Beta |Analyze Capitan Mining Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Capitan Mining correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Capitan Mining Volatility and Downside Risk

Capitan standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Capitan Mining Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Capitan Mining pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Capitan Mining's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Capitan Mining's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Capitan Mining's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of pink sheet volatility measures Capitan Mining's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Capitan Mining's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Capitan Mining's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Capitan Mining's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Developed by Larry Williams, the Weighted Close is the average of Capitan Mining high, low and close of a chart with the close values weighted twice. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes only Capitan Mining closing price as input.

Capitan Mining Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.2251 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Capitan Mining will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Capitan Mining or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Capitan Mining's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Capitan pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Capitan Mining has an alpha of 0.266, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Capitan Mining's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how capitan pink sheet's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Capitan Mining Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Capitan Mining Pink Sheet Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Capitan Mining is 988.38. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 25.67 and standard deviation of 5.07. The mean deviation of Capitan Mining is currently at 3.56. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.69
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.23
σ
Overall volatility
5.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Capitan Mining Pink Sheet Return Volatility

Capitan Mining historical daily return volatility represents how much of Capitan Mining pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 5.0665% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7248% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

BKRRFCHPGF
WHGOFBKRRF
BKRRFPAAS
WHGOFSMDRF
PAASORVMF
WHGOFCHPGF
  

High negative correlations

BOCOFORVMF
PAASBOCOF
LMRXFORVMF
BKRRFBOCOF
CHPGFBOCOF
TSORFORVMF

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Capitan Pink Sheet performing well and Capitan Mining Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Capitan Mining's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.
Mean DeviationJensen AlphaSortino RatioTreynor RatioSemi DeviationExpected ShortfallPotential UpsideValue @RiskMaximum Drawdown
SMDRF  4.94  0.89  0.14  0.58  5.99 
 10.92 
 40.19 
SNNGF  6.02 (0.05) 0.00 (0.10) 0.00 
 16.67 
 79.63 
ORVMF  4.39  0.51  0.13  0.26  4.69 
 11.40 
 31.03 
BOCOF  0.75  0.24  0.00 (9.57) 0.00 
 0.00 
 5.88 
CHPGF  5.43  0.51  0.12  0.27  5.02 
 14.52 
 42.88 
PAAS  2.46  0.46  0.13  0.48  3.05 
 7.23 
 16.85 
BKRRF  3.97  0.79  0.18  0.51  3.92 
 8.70 
 24.65 
TSORF  6.47  1.15  0.06  1.21  7.40 
 32.08 
 89.83 
LMRXF  3.23 (0.27) 0.00 (0.04) 0.00 
 5.00 
 16.67 
WHGOF  3.59  0.37  0.10  0.28  3.59 
 10.39 
 22.05 

About Capitan Mining Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Capitan Mining or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Capitan Mining may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Capitan's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Capitan Mining and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Capitan Mining fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Capitan Mining Inc. engages in the acquisition and exploration of mineral properties in Mexico. Capitan Mining Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. Capitan Mining operates under Other Precious Metals Mining classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.
Capitan Mining's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Capitan Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Capitan Mining's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Capitan Mining's volatility to invest better

Higher Capitan Mining's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Capitan Mining stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Capitan Mining stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Capitan Mining investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Capitan Mining's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Capitan Mining's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Capitan Mining Investment Opportunity

Capitan Mining has a volatility of 5.07 and is 7.04 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Capitan Mining is lower than 45 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Capitan Mining to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Capitan Mining to be traded at $1.4688 in 90 days.

Modest diversification

The correlation between Capitan Mining and DJI is 0.28 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Capitan Mining and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Capitan Mining Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Capitan Mining's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Capitan Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Capitan Mining pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Capitan Mining Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Capitan Mining as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Capitan Mining's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Capitan Mining's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Capitan Mining.

Complementary Tools for Capitan Pink Sheet analysis

When running Capitan Mining's price analysis, check to measure Capitan Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capitan Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Capitan Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capitan Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capitan Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capitan Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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