Chesapeake Energy Volatility
| CHKDelisted Stock | USD 81.46 0.43 0.53% |
Chesapeake Energy appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Chesapeake Energy secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.25, which signifies that the company had a 0.25% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Chesapeake Energy, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Chesapeake Energy's mean deviation of 1.21, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.01 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Chesapeake Energy's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Chesapeake Energy Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Chesapeake daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Chesapeake's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Chesapeake Energy volatility.
Chesapeake |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Chesapeake Energy at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Chesapeake stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving against Chesapeake Stock
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Chesapeake Energy Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Chesapeake Energy's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Chesapeake stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Chesapeake stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Chesapeake Energy's beta of 0.0598 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Chesapeake Energy stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Chesapeake Energy has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.03 and kurtosis of -0.41. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Chesapeake Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Chesapeake Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Chesapeake Energy Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Chesapeake Energy correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Chesapeake Beta |
Chesapeake standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.78 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Chesapeake Energy's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Chesapeake Energy's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in chesapeake stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Chesapeake Energy.
Chesapeake Energy Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Chesapeake Energy delisted stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Chesapeake Energy's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Chesapeake Energy's stock to predict their future moves. A delisted stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile delisted stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Chesapeake Energy's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of delisted stock volatility measures Chesapeake Energy's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Chesapeake Energy's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Chesapeake Energy's current market price. This means that the delisted stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Chesapeake Energy's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
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Chesapeake Energy Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Chesapeake Energy has a beta of 0.0598 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Chesapeake Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chesapeake Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Chesapeake Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Chesapeake Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Chesapeake delisted stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Chesapeake Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Chesapeake Energy Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a delisted stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Chesapeake Energy Stock Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Chesapeake Energy is 405.89. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 3.17 and standard deviation of 1.78. The mean deviation of Chesapeake Energy is currently at 1.47. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0072 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Chesapeake Energy Stock Return Volatility
Chesapeake Energy historical daily return volatility represents how much of Chesapeake Energy delisted stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company has volatility of 1.7816% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7762% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Chesapeake Energy Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Chesapeake Energy or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Chesapeake Energy may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Chesapeake's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Chesapeake Energy and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Chesapeake Energy fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Chesapeake Energy Corporation, an independent exploration and production company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of properties for the production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids from underground reservoirs in the United States. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. Chesapeake Energy operates under Oil Gas EP classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1300 people.
Chesapeake Energy's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Chesapeake Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Chesapeake Energy's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Chesapeake Energy's volatility to invest better
Higher Chesapeake Energy's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Chesapeake Energy stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Chesapeake Energy stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Chesapeake Energy investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Chesapeake Energy's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Chesapeake Energy's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Chesapeake Energy Investment Opportunity
Chesapeake Energy has a volatility of 1.78 and is 2.28 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 15 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Chesapeake Energy. You can use Chesapeake Energy to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of Chesapeake Energy to be traded at $79.83 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between Chesapeake Energy and DJI is 0.03 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Chesapeake Energy and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Chesapeake Energy Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Chesapeake Energy's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chesapeake Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Chesapeake Energy stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.01 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0096 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 15295.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.53 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar delisted stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Chesapeake Energy Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Chesapeake Energy as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Chesapeake Energy's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Chesapeake Energy's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Chesapeake Energy.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Other Consideration for investing in Chesapeake Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Chesapeake Energy check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Chesapeake Energy's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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