Altegris Crabel Multi Strategy Fund Volatility
| CMSIX Fund | USD 9.60 0.00 0.00% |
At this stage we consider Altegris Mutual Fund to be very steady. Altegris Crabel Multi secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0443, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0443% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for Altegris Crabel Multi Strategy, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Altegris Crabel's Mean Deviation of 0.3894, risk adjusted performance of 0.0772, and Downside Deviation of 0.7027 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0257%. Key indicators related to Altegris Crabel's volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 720 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Altegris Crabel Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Altegris daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Altegris's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Altegris Crabel volatility.
Altegris |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Altegris Crabel. They may decide to buy additional shares of Altegris Crabel at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving together with Altegris Mutual Fund
Moving against Altegris Mutual Fund
| 0.42 | EVOCX | Altegris Futures Evo | PairCorr |
| 0.41 | EVOIX | Altegris Futures Evo | PairCorr |
| 0.41 | EVOAX | Altegris Futures Evo | PairCorr |
Altegris Crabel Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Altegris Crabel's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Altegris mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Altegris mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Altegris Crabel's beta of 0.081 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Altegris Crabel mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Altegris Crabel Multi Strategy exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.18 and kurtosis of 2.32. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Altegris Crabel's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Altegris Crabel's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Altegris Crabel Multi Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Altegris Crabel correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Altegris Beta |
Altegris standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.58 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Altegris Crabel's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Altegris Crabel's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in altegris mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Altegris Crabel.
Altegris Crabel Multi Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Altegris Crabel fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Altegris Crabel's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Altegris Crabel's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Altegris Crabel's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of fund volatility measures Altegris Crabel's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Altegris Crabel's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Altegris Crabel's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Altegris Crabel's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
We are not able to run technical analysis function on this symbol. We either do not have that equity or its historical data is not available at this time. Please try again later.
Altegris Crabel Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Altegris Crabel has a beta of 0.081 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Altegris Crabel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Altegris Crabel Multi Strategy will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Altegris Crabel or Altegris sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Altegris Crabel's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Altegris fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Altegris Crabel Multi Strategy has an alpha of 0.0392, implying that it can generate a 0.0392 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an Altegris Crabel Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Altegris Crabel Mutual Fund Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Altegris Crabel is 2259.87. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.34 and standard deviation of 0.58. The mean deviation of Altegris Crabel Multi Strategy is currently at 0.34. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Altegris Crabel Mutual Fund Return Volatility
Altegris Crabel historical daily return volatility represents how much of Altegris Crabel fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 0.58% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7444% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Altegris Crabel Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Altegris Crabel or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Altegris Crabel may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Altegris's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Altegris Crabel and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Altegris Crabel fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.The adviser seeks to achieve the funds investment objective by allocating its assets among multiple investment strategies, with a goal of delivering an all weather solution that has the potential to provide positive returns in all market environments. The adviser will execute a portion of the Tactical Futures strategy by investing up to 25 percent of the funds total assets in a wholly-owned and controlled subsidiary . The fund is non-diversified.
Altegris Crabel's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Altegris Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Altegris Crabel's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Altegris Crabel's volatility to invest better
Higher Altegris Crabel's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Altegris Crabel Multi fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Altegris Crabel Multi fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Altegris Crabel Multi investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Altegris Crabel's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Altegris Crabel's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Altegris Crabel Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.74 and is 1.28 times more volatile than Altegris Crabel Multi Strategy. 5 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Altegris Crabel. You can use Altegris Crabel Multi Strategy to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The mutual fund experiences a normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . Check odds of Altegris Crabel to be traded at $9.5 in 90 days.Average diversification
The correlation between Altegris Crabel Multi Strategy and DJI is 0.11 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Altegris Crabel Multi Strategy and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Altegris Crabel Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Altegris Crabel's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Altegris Crabel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Altegris Crabel mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0772 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.621 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.3894 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.3948 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.7027 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 946.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5628 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Altegris Crabel Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Altegris Crabel as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Altegris Crabel's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Altegris Crabel's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Altegris Crabel Multi Strategy.
Other Information on Investing in Altegris Mutual Fund
Altegris Crabel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Altegris Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Altegris with respect to the benefits of owning Altegris Crabel security.
| Sign In To Macroaxis Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules | |
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk |