AXA SA (France) Volatility

CS Stock  EUR 39.99  0.45  1.11%   
At this point, AXA SA is very steady. AXA SA retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0254, which signifies that the company had a 0.0254 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for AXA SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm AXA SA's market risk adjusted performance of 0.0698, and Coefficient Of Variation of 3936.39 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0239%.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0254

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.94
  actual daily
8
92% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.02
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.03
  actual daily
2
98% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average AXA SA is performing at about 2% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of AXA SA by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to AXA SA's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
AXA SA Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of AXA daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use AXA's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of AXA SA volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as AXA SA can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of AXA SA at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of AXA SA's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Main indicators related to AXA SA's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
0.23
Alpha
(0.01)
Risk
0.94
Sharpe Ratio
0.0254
Expected Return
0.0239

Moving together with AXA Stock

  0.62MLPLC Placoplatre SAPairCorr
  0.74CAF Caisse Rgionale dePairCorr

Moving against AXA Stock

  0.78AREIT AltareitPairCorr
  0.53CBDG Compagnie du CambodgePairCorr
  0.37AIR Airbus Group SEPairCorr

AXA SA Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

AXA SA's beta coefficient measures the volatility of AXA stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents AXA stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, AXA SA's beta of 0.23 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk AXA SA stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. AXA SA has relatively low volatility with skewness of -1.65 and kurtosis of 6.59. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AXA SA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AXA SA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Check current 90 days AXA SA correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α-0.0057   β0.23
3 Months Beta |Analyze AXA SA Demand Trend
Check current 90 days AXA SA correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

AXA SA Volatility and Downside Risk

AXA standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

AXA SA Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which AXA SA stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with AXA SA's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of AXA SA's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of AXA SA's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures AXA SA's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict AXA SA's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for AXA SA's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on AXA SA's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. AXA SA Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

AXA SA Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon AXA SA has a beta of 0.2317 suggesting as returns on the market go up, AXA SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AXA SA will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AXA SA or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AXA SA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AXA stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
AXA SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
AXA SA's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how axa stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an AXA SA Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

AXA SA Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of AXA SA is 3936.39. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.88 and standard deviation of 0.94. The mean deviation of AXA SA is currently at 0.66. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.74
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0057
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.94
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

AXA SA Stock Return Volatility

AXA SA historical daily return volatility represents how much of AXA SA stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 0.9391% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7029% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

ACABNP
GLEBNP
AMUNBNP
GLEACA
AMUNACA
AMUNGLE
  

High negative correlations

EDENGLE
EDENBNP
EDENAMUN
EDENACA
VILGLE
VILACA

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between AXA Stock performing well and AXA SA Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze AXA SA's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.
Mean DeviationJensen AlphaSortino RatioTreynor RatioSemi DeviationExpected ShortfallPotential UpsideValue @RiskMaximum Drawdown
BNP  1.28  0.27  0.08 (0.65) 1.87 
 2.58 
 9.23 
ACA  0.78  0.09  0.02  0.60  1.19 
 1.54 
 6.24 
GLE  1.31  0.46  0.20 (2.46) 1.33 
 3.27 
 7.52 
SCR  1.09 (0.15) 0.00 (61.34) 0.00 
 1.80 
 14.05 
COFA  0.67 (0.05) 0.00 (0.21) 0.00 
 1.20 
 5.80 
AMUN  0.87  0.17  0.04 (1.45) 1.55 
 1.68 
 7.20 
VIL  1.23 (0.06) 0.00  0.43  0.00 
 2.70 
 8.03 
CIV  1.59  0.00 (0.04) 0.05  1.94 
 2.86 
 7.75 
EDEN  2.10 (0.17) 0.00 (0.14) 0.00 
 3.23 
 28.21 
CNDF  1.35  0.13  0.02 (1.23) 1.78 
 2.52 
 7.80 

About AXA SA Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of AXA SA or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of AXA SA may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to AXA's beta indicator, it measures the risk of AXA SA and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of AXA SA fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
AXA SA, through its subsidiaries, provides insurance, asset management, and banking services worldwide. The company was founded in 1852 and is based in Paris, France. AXA operates under Insurance - Life And Health classification in France and is traded on Paris Stock Exchange. It employs 106128 people.
AXA SA's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on AXA Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much AXA SA's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize AXA SA's volatility to invest better

Higher AXA SA's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of AXA SA stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. AXA SA stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of AXA SA investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in AXA SA's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of AXA SA's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

AXA SA Investment Opportunity

AXA SA has a volatility of 0.94 and is 1.34 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 8 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than AXA SA. You can use AXA SA to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of AXA SA to be traded at €38.79 in 90 days.

Average diversification

The correlation between AXA SA and DJI is 0.18 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding AXA SA and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

AXA SA Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of AXA SA's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AXA SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of AXA SA stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

AXA SA Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against AXA SA as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. AXA SA's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, AXA SA's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to AXA SA.

Complementary Tools for AXA Stock analysis

When running AXA SA's price analysis, check to measure AXA SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AXA SA is operating at the current time. Most of AXA SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AXA SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AXA SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AXA SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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