Citadel Income Fund Volatility

CTF-UN Fund  CAD 3.07  0.03  0.97%   
At this point, Citadel Income is relatively risky. Citadel Income secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0383, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0383 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Citadel Income, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Citadel Income's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0455, mean deviation of 1.58, and Downside Deviation of 3.24 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0383

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Estimated Market Risk

 2.85
  actual daily
25
75% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.11
  actual daily
2
98% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.04
  actual daily
3
97% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Citadel Income is performing at about 3% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Citadel Income by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Citadel Income's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Citadel Income Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Citadel daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Citadel's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Citadel Income volatility.
  
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Citadel Income. They may decide to buy additional shares of Citadel Income at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.

Moving together with Citadel Fund

  0.630P0000706A RBC Select BalancedPairCorr
  0.630P00007069 RBC PortefeuillePairCorr
  0.680P0000WJMR IG Mackenzie DividendPairCorr
  0.640P0000IUYO Edgepoint Global PorPairCorr
  0.630P0000WJLP IG Mackenzie EuropeanPairCorr
  0.630P0001FAU5 TD Comfort AggressivePairCorr
  0.620P000075KH NEI Canadian EquityPairCorr
  0.660P000075NL Invesco Canadian FPairCorr
  0.67IICE-F Invesco SP InternationalPairCorr
  0.710P0001OO5L NBI International EquityPairCorr
  0.710P0001GZLR Fidelity Canadian GrowthPairCorr
  0.610P000070I2 CI Global ResourcePairCorr
  0.660P0000N468 PHN Canadian EquityPairCorr
  0.640P000083X4 RBC Select AggressivePairCorr
  0.650P0000MOTX Manulife Global EquityPairCorr
  0.640P0000727K Capital Group GlobalPairCorr
  0.660P0000G368 Compass Maximum GrowthPairCorr

Citadel Income Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Citadel Income's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Citadel fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Citadel fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Citadel Income's beta of 0.71 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Citadel Income fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Citadel Income shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Citadel Income's fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Citadel Income's fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Check current 90 days Citadel Income correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.07   β0.71
3 Months Beta |Analyze Citadel Income Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Citadel Income correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Citadel Income Volatility and Downside Risk

Citadel standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Citadel Income Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Citadel Income fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Citadel Income's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Citadel Income's fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Citadel Income's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of fund volatility measures Citadel Income's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Citadel Income's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the fund.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Citadel Income's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Citadel Income's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Developed by Larry Williams, the Weighted Close is the average of Citadel Income high, low and close of a chart with the close values weighted twice. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes only Citadel Income closing price as input.

Citadel Income Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Citadel Income has a beta of 0.7073 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Citadel Income average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Citadel Income will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Citadel Income or Commodities Funds sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Citadel Income's price will be affected by overall fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Citadel fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Citadel Income has an alpha of 0.0686, implying that it can generate a 0.0686 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Citadel Income's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how citadel fund's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Citadel Income Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Citadel Income Fund Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Citadel Income is 2611.05. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 8.1 and standard deviation of 2.85. The mean deviation of Citadel Income is currently at 1.6. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.74
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.71
σ
Overall volatility
2.85
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Citadel Income Fund Return Volatility

Citadel Income historical daily return volatility represents how much of Citadel Income fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund accepts 2.8468% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7384% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Citadel Fund performing well and Citadel Income Fund doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Citadel Income's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.

About Citadel Income Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Citadel Income or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Citadel Income may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Citadel's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Citadel Income and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Citadel Income fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Citadel Income Fund is a closed-ended balanced mutual fund launched by Artemis Investment Management Limited. Citadel Income Fund was formed on December 31, 2008 and is domiciled in Canada. CITADEL INCOME is traded on Toronto Stock Exchange in Canada.
Citadel Income's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Citadel Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Citadel Income's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Citadel Income's volatility to invest better

Higher Citadel Income's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Citadel Income fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Citadel Income fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Citadel Income investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Citadel Income's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Citadel Income's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Citadel Income Investment Opportunity

Citadel Income has a volatility of 2.85 and is 3.85 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 25 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Citadel Income. You can use Citadel Income to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The fund experiences a moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of Citadel Income to be traded at C$3.01 in 90 days.

Average diversification

The correlation between Citadel Income and DJI is 0.19 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Citadel Income and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Citadel Income Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Citadel Income's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Citadel Income's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Citadel Income fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Citadel Income Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Citadel Income as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Citadel Income's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Citadel Income's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Citadel Income.

Other Information on Investing in Citadel Fund

Citadel Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Citadel Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Citadel with respect to the benefits of owning Citadel Income security.
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