Defentect Group Stock Volatility
| DFTC Stock | USD 0.01 0.00 0.00% |
Defentect is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Defentect Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.18, which denotes the company had a 0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 3.61% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Defentect Downside Deviation of 18.81, mean deviation of 11.9, and Coefficient Of Variation of 512.45 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Key indicators related to Defentect's volatility include:
180 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 180 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Defentect Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Defentect daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Defentect's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Defentect volatility.
Defentect |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Defentect can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Defentect at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Defentect's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving against Defentect Pink Sheet
| 0.63 | CDNS | Cadence Design Systems | PairCorr |
| 0.55 | UBER | Uber Technologies | PairCorr |
| 0.5 | SAPGF | SAP SE | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | SAP | SAP SE ADR | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | NOW | ServiceNow | PairCorr |
| 0.39 | INTU | Intuit Inc | PairCorr |
Defentect Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Defentect's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Defentect pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Defentect pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Defentect's beta of -1.87 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Defentect pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Defentect Group is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Defentect Group is a penny stock. Although Defentect may be in fact a good investment, many penny pink sheets are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Defentect Group. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Defentect instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Defentect Group Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Defentect correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Defentect Beta |
Defentect standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 20.4 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Defentect's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Defentect's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in defentect pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Defentect.
Defentect Group Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Defentect pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Defentect's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Defentect's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Defentect's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of pink sheet volatility measures Defentect's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Defentect's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Defentect's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Defentect's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. The Median Price line plots median indexes of Defentect Group price series.
Defentect Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Defentect Group has a beta of -1.8743 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Defentect Group are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Defentect is expected to outperform its benchmark.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Defentect or Technology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Defentect's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Defentect pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Defentect Group has an alpha of 4.0171, implying that it can generate a 4.02 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Defentect Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Defentect Pink Sheet Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Defentect is 565.82. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 416.07 and standard deviation of 20.4. The mean deviation of Defentect Group is currently at 11.76. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.7
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 4.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 20.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Defentect Pink Sheet Return Volatility
Defentect historical daily return volatility represents how much of Defentect pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 20.3977% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7121% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Defentect Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Defentect or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Defentect may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Defentect's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Defentect and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Defentect fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Defentect Group, Inc. develops and provides IP based alerting system that protects against chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and explosive threats. Defentect Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is based in New Canaan, Connecticut. Defentect operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 4 people.
Defentect's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Defentect Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Defentect's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Defentect's volatility to invest better
Higher Defentect's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Defentect Group stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Defentect Group stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Defentect Group investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Defentect's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Defentect's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Defentect Investment Opportunity
Defentect Group has a volatility of 20.4 and is 28.73 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 96 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Defentect. You can use Defentect Group to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences a normal downward fluctuation but is a risky buy. Check odds of Defentect to be traded at $0.0129 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Defentect Group and DJI is -0.07 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Defentect Group and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Defentect Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Defentect's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Defentect's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Defentect pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1465 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (2.07) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 11.9 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 9.75 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 18.81 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 512.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 20.08 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Defentect Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Defentect as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Defentect's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Defentect's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Defentect Group.
Complementary Tools for Defentect Pink Sheet analysis
When running Defentect's price analysis, check to measure Defentect's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Defentect is operating at the current time. Most of Defentect's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Defentect's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Defentect's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Defentect to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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