Elme Communities Stock Volatility

ELME Stock  USD 2.13  0.01  0.47%   
Elme Communities' price history translates into the risk numbers analysts use to compare it with safer or riskier names. Its long-term beta is 0.79, meaning it tends to be less volatile than the market as a whole. The stock shows minimal price volatility over the last 3 months.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.058

Leading ReturnsTop Quartile
Strong
Moderate
Modest
CashLowModerateElevatedHigh
Below BenchmarkELME
Elme Communities (ELME) recorded a Market Risk Adjusted Performance of -1.4%, a Risk of 1.14, and a Risk Adjusted Performance of -0.1%. Monthly moving average data shows the stock is underperforming relative to its full potential.
Key indicators related to Elme Communities' volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity

Key risk metrics for Elme Communities (3 Months):

 Beta
0.35
 Alpha
-0.51
 Risk
1.14
 Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
 Expected Return
-0.07

Moving together with Elme Stock

  0.68CLPR Clipper RealtyPairCorr

Moving Against Elme Stock

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  0.54WTSHF Westshore Terminals Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
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  0.54AKRBF Aker BP ASAPairCorr
  0.51BRETF Brazilian Rare EarthsPairCorr
  0.43IMIAF IMI plcPairCorr
  0.4105348EBB4 AVALONBAY CMNTYS INCPairCorr
  0.37WEYS Weyco GroupPairCorr
  0.31UNP Union PacificPairCorr

Sensitivity To Market

Elme Communities beta of 0.35 quantifies how much of its total volatility (1.14%) is attributable to market-wide factors versus idiosyncratic drivers. Elme Communities return dispersion over the lookback window shows standard deviation near 3.3% and semi-deviation near 0.0%, providing a baseline for comparison across peer instruments. Options markets imply a forward-looking volatility estimate near 141.0%. This suggests the market is pricing in the possibility of wider future price swings compared to recent historical dispersion. Equity volatility compresses in calm markets and expands quickly when uncertainty increases. Stock dispersion changes materially during earnings seasons and macro data releases.
Current 90-day Elme Communities correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α-0.5113   β0.35
3 Months Beta |Elme Communities Demand Trend
Current 90-day Elme Communities correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Downside Risk

Elme daily return dispersion, captured by standard deviation, sets the baseline volatility reading for this instrument. High standard deviation indicates a volatile instrument; low standard deviation indicates a more stable one.
Standard Deviation
    
  1.14  
The difference between upside risk and downside risk is meaningful for Elme Communities analysis. Semi-deviation and downside deviation isolate negative return dispersion, providing additional context on loss-specific risk relative to total volatility for Elme Communities. Elme Communities (ELME) recorded a Maximum Drawdown of 27.91.

Elme Put Option Risk Profile Based on 2026-07-17 Contracts

Elme Communities (ELME) recorded an Option Implied Volatility of 1.41 and an Option Max Pain Price of -1. Put options on Elme Communities offset potential price declines in Elme Stock. The put buyer has a limited loss equal to the premium paid for the right to sell Elme Stock at the strike.

Elme Communities' PUT expiring on 2026-07-17

   Profit   
       Elme Communities Price At Expiration  

Current Elme Communities Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
PutELME260717P000175000.00.01102026-07-170.0 - 0.00.0View
PutELME260717P000025000.00.0202026-07-170.0 - 2.150.0View
View All Elme Communities Options

Stock Volatility Analysis

When measuring the risk of Elme Communities stock, volatility is a critical metric. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk associated with Elme Communities' price changes.
Transformation
This analysis covers sixty-one data points across the selected time horizon. The Average Price transformation calculates the mean of Elme Communities's open, high, low, and close for each trading period. By incorporating all four price components equally, it provides a balanced representation of each period's trading activity. Compared to using the closing price alone, the average price reduces the influence of end-of-day positioning and can serve as a smoother input for other technical indicators.

Projected Return Density Against Market

Given a 90-day horizon, Elme Communities has a beta of 0.3542 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Elme Communities's average returns tend to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Elme Communities tends to be smaller as well.
Risk assessment for Elme Communities separates macro-driven volatility from company or sector-specific developments. Market risk cannot be diversified away, though asset-specific exposure can be moderated. Elme Communities (ELME) recorded a Mean Deviation of 1.43, an Option Implied Volatility of 1.41, and a Standard Deviation of 3.30.
Elme Communities has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Distribution   
       Density  
Elme Communities' volatility is typically evaluated with standard deviation and beta. Standard deviation reflects how far Elme Communities' returns usually move from the mean over the selected horizon.

What Drives Elme Communities' Price Volatility?

Industry Dynamics

Sector-level catalysts in the Residential REITs sector often set the baseline volatility regime for Elme Communities.

Political and Economic Environment

Interest-rate path changes, geopolitical developments, and macro surprises influence investor risk tolerance.

Elme Communities' Company-Specific Factors

Execution updates, margin trends, and corporate actions can shift near-term return dispersion for Elme Communities'.

Stock Risk Measures

Given a 90-day horizon, the coefficient of variation of Elme Communities is -1724.47. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.31 and standard deviation of 1.14. The mean deviation of Elme Communities is currently at 0.9. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.94
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.5113
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
1.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.1547

Stock Return Volatility

Elme Communities daily volatility tracks how widely stock returns have moved around the mean across the selected time frame. The firm reflects 1.1439% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day horizon. On the other hand, Dow Jones Industrial reported 0.9502% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day investment horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

PDMTRTX
TRTXJBGS
PDMJBGS
EFCTRTX
UNITPGRE
EFCPDM
  

High negative correlations

GTYJBGS
GTYTRTX
IIPRJBGS
GTYPDM
TRTXPGRE
JBGSPGRE

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

Return momentum in Elme Stock is more useful when tested against peer-relative fundamentals and risk. Without risk-adjusted context, short-term returns may appear stronger than the volatility required to achieve them would suggest. These indicators are quantitative in nature and measure volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across different positions.

Risk Metrics, Assumptions & Methodology

Drawdown depth for Elme Communities defines the worst peak-to-trough loss observed, framing downside volatility in practical terms. Drawdown frequency and clustering help distinguish episodic stress from persistent volatility regimes. Elme Communities has a market cap of 188.38 M, ROE of -13.42%.

Elme Communities metrics draw on periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, standardized for cross-period comparison. Volatility and downside metrics are estimated from historical return dispersion.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board

Elme Communities Volatility Profile Summary

Recent data suggests that Elme Communities is more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial by approximately 1.2x over the selected horizon. This differential reflects the relative dispersion of returns and frames how the asset responds to broader market conditions. Observed price behavior indicates modest directional movement within the current volatility regime. Across the current 90-day horizon, that places the security below 10% of the broader equity and portfolio universe on a pure volatility basis. This positioning reflects relative dispersion compared to peers rather than extreme instability.

Elme Communities with characteristics aligned to broad market upside participation. This price-change note interprets the latest move in the context of short-horizon trading behavior. It gives extra weight to the size of the move, the quote level, and whether the instrument trades in a hype-prone venue. a normal upward fluctuation. Return distributions derived from historical modeling outline a range of potential outcomes over the selected 90-day horizon. View Elme Communities probability analysis.

Weak diversification
The correlation between Elme Communities and Dow Jones is 0.41, which Macroaxis classifies as Weak diversification for the selected horizon. This chart measures the degree of risk overlap between Elme Communities and Dow Jones.

Elme Communities Additional Risk Indicators

Secondary risk indicators for Elme Communities evaluate exposure beyond standard deviation, beta, or one headline volatility measure. These measures support both standalone risk assessment and portfolio-level analysis.

Elme Communities Suggested Diversification Pairs

A pair-trading setup around Elme Communities shifts the return benchmark from the broad market to a second position, altering the risk profile. The advantage is that adverse movement in one leg may be partly offset by the other when correlation and thesis alignment hold.
Pair strategies reduce risk, but not all risk is diversifiable through pairing. Market-level risk for Elme Communities persists even in a well-constructed pair. The benefit is in offsetting Elme Communities' company-specific risk, which can be meaningfully reduced by selecting a second position that moves independently of Elme Communities.