Europac International Value Fund Volatility

EPVIX Fund  USD 14.83  0.12  0.82%   
EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL's volatility, beta, and downside-risk metrics are presented in one read. The fund shows minimal price volatility over the last 3 months.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.001

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For Europac International Value, recent data highlights Market Risk Adjusted Performance at -0.1%, Risk close to 1.25, and Total Risk Alpha close to -0.03. Based on recent moving average trends, the fund has not achieved its theoretical performance maximum.
Key indicators related to EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity

Key risk metrics for EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL (3 Months):

 Beta
0.85
 Alpha
-0.04
 Risk
1.25
 Sharpe Ratio
0
 Expected Return
0

Assets With Similar Volatility

  0.64DODFX Dodge International StockPairCorr
  0.79OANIX Oakmark International FundPairCorr
  0.77OAZIX Oakmark InternationalPairCorr
  0.72VIHAX Vanguard International HighPairCorr
  0.82CIVVX Causeway International ValuePairCorr
  0.82CIVIX Causeway International ValuePairCorr
  0.7FINVX Fidelity Series InternationalPairCorr
  0.78TRIGX T Rowe PricePairCorr
  0.67BRUFX Bruce Fund BrucePairCorr
  0.62BA The BoeingPairCorr
  0.73HD The Home Depot Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.86GE GE AerospacePairCorr
  0.76PG Procter GamblePairCorr
  0.68KO The Coca ColaPairCorr

Lower Correlation Assets

  0.69RYMEX Commodities Strategy FundPairCorr
  0.69RYMJX Commodities Strategy FundPairCorr
  0.66RYMBX Commodities Strategy FundPairCorr

Sensitivity To Market

EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL beta coefficient measures the volatility of EUROPAC mutual fund relative to the systematic risk of the broad market benchmark. A beta of 0.85 indicates the degree of sensitivity to market-wide movements. Current total volatility is approximately 1.25%. Europac International Value has shown noticeable price swings over the selected period. Downside deviation is about 0.0% and standard deviation is about 1.3%, which summarize how widely returns have moved. For EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL, the volatility profile is a portfolio effect rather than a single-company effect. Global funds add currency-related movement on top of underlying asset volatility.
Current 90-day EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α-0.0411   β0.85
3 Months Beta |Europac International Demand Trend
Current 90-day EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Downside Risk

Standard deviation measures how far EUROPAC returns deviate from the historical mean and remains a primary indicator of total price volatility. A large standard deviation signals wide price swings; a small one signals relative stability. Peer-relative standard deviation places EUROPAC on a common scale for cross-instrument volatility ranking. This dispersion metric remains a common starting point for assessing EUROPAC price volatility.
Standard Deviation
    
  1.25  
For EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL, the distinction between upside and downside risk matters. Downside risk, the risk of loss specifically, is better measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL's returns. Total price dispersion for EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL includes upside moves that do not represent loss risk. Using both metrics together provides a more complete view of EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL's risk characteristics. For Europac International Value, recent data highlights a Maximum Drawdown of 6.03.

Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility describes the degree to which EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL mutual fund price fluctuates in either direction. It captures how much EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL's price fluctuates, which is relevant to allocation calibration. Volatility in EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL reflects the degree of uncertainty around EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL's mutual fund price. Periods of elevated volatility in EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL reward disciplined traders while exposing long-term holders to drawdowns.
Transformation
This analysis covers sixty-one data points across the selected time horizon. The Average Price transformation calculates the mean of Europac International's open, high, low, and close for each trading period. By incorporating all four price components equally, it provides a balanced representation of each period's trading activity. Compared to using the closing price alone, the average price reduces the influence of end-of-day positioning and can serve as a smoother input for other technical indicators.

Projected Return Density Against Market

Based on a 90-day horizon, EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL has a beta of 0.8492 suggesting as returns on the market go up, EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL's average returns tend to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Europac International Value tends to be smaller as well.
Systematic risk links EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL to broad mutual fund market cycles, while unsystematic risk stems from company or sector-specific developments. Diversification addresses the latter, but macro sensitivity persists. Beta measures relative responsiveness. For Europac International Value, recent data highlights Mean Deviation close to 0.97 and Standard Deviation close to 1.30.
Europac International Value has a negative alpha, implying that risk has not been adequately compensated by returns. EPVIX is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Distribution   
       Density  

Mutual Fund Risk Measures

Based on a 90-day horizon, the coefficient of variation of EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL is 98961.92. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.57 and standard deviation of 1.25. The mean deviation of Europac International Value is currently at 0.93. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.9
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0411
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.85
σ
Overall volatility
1.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.0297

Mutual Fund Return Volatility

EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL historical daily return volatility represents how much of EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund reported 1.2546% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial reported 0.9156% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day investment horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

EPDIXEPDPX
TASCXTVSVX
MSACXEPDPX
MSACXEPDIX
MSACXTPVIX
TVSVXATESX
  

High negative correlations

ATESXDSMLX
TASCXDSMLX
TVSVXDSMLX
TGUNXTASCX
TGUNXTVSVX
TGUNXMSACX

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

Strong recent returns in EUROPAC Mutual Fund do not always mean EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL Mutual Fund is outperforming peers on business quality. Without risk-adjusted context, short-term returns may appear stronger than the volatility required to achieve them would suggest. These indicators are quantitative in nature and measure volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across different positions.

Risk Metrics, Assumptions & Methodology

Beta exposure for EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL estimates how much of the fund's return variability is driven by market-wide forces versus allocation-specific effects. Low beta does not mean low volatility; it means volatility is driven more by idiosyncratic than systematic factors.

Europac International Value metrics are compiled from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and normalized before display. Volatility and downside metrics are estimated from historical return dispersion.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Michael Smolkin, Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors

Volatility Profile Summary

Recent data suggests that Europac International Value is more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial by approximately 1.36x over the selected horizon. This differential reflects the relative dispersion of returns and frames how the asset responds to broader market conditions. Observed price behavior indicates modest directional movement within the current volatility regime. Across the current 90-day horizon, that places the security below 11% of the broader equity and portfolio universe on a pure volatility basis. This positioning reflects relative dispersion compared to peers rather than extreme instability.

Europac International Value with characteristics aligned to broad market upside participation. This short-horizon analysis focuses on what the latest move may imply for immediate market context. It works best as a directional cue rather than as a standalone forecast. a moderate upward price movement. Return distributions derived from historical modeling outline a range of potential outcomes over the selected 90-day horizon. View EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL probability analysis.

Weak diversification
Across the chosen horizon, EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL and Dow Jones show a correlation of 0.56 and fall into the Weak diversification bucket. This chart measures the degree of risk overlap between EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL and Dow Jones.

Additional Risk Indicators

Risk analysis around Europac International Value gains depth when secondary indicators confirm, refine, or challenge the basic volatility picture. Cross-security comparison within similar growth and valuation profiles provides additional context for interpreting relative risk positioning.

EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair analysis provides a framework for evaluating relative performance between Europac International Value and comparable securities. A disciplined pair structure still requires monitoring because correlation weakens when market regimes change.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, EUROPAC INTERNATIONAL's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Europac International Value.