Ferrari Group (Netherlands) Volatility

FERGR Stock   9.60  0.09  0.95%   
Ferrari Group appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Ferrari Group PLC secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which denotes the company had a 0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Ferrari Group PLC, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Ferrari Group's Mean Deviation of 1.3, coefficient of variation of 912.93, and Downside Deviation of 1.58 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
  
Ferrari Group Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Ferrari daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Ferrari's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Ferrari Group volatility.
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Ferrari Group can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Ferrari Group at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Ferrari Group's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Main indicators related to Ferrari Group's market risk premium analysis include:

Moving together with Ferrari Stock

  0.72ASML ASML Holding NVPairCorr
  0.65INGA ING Groep NVPairCorr
  0.83HAL HAL TrustPairCorr

Moving against Ferrari Stock

  0.84PRX Prosus NVPairCorr
  0.61AD Koninklijke AholdPairCorr
  0.56WKL Wolters Kluwer NVPairCorr
  0.55UMG Universal Music GroupPairCorr
  0.48REN Relx PLCPairCorr
  0.44SHELL Shell PLCPairCorr

Ferrari Group Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Ferrari Group's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Ferrari stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Ferrari stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Ferrari Group's beta of 0.1 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Ferrari Group stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Ferrari Group PLC has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.77 and kurtosis of 1.35. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ferrari Group's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ferrari Group's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Check current 90 days Ferrari Group correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.18   β0.10
3 Months Beta |Analyze Ferrari Group PLC Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Ferrari Group correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Ferrari Group Volatility and Downside Risk

Ferrari standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Ferrari Group PLC Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Ferrari Group stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Ferrari Group's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Ferrari Group's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Ferrari Group's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Ferrari Group's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Ferrari Group's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Ferrari Group's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Ferrari Group's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Ferrari Group PLC Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Ferrari Group Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ferrari Group has a beta of 0.1027 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Ferrari Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ferrari Group PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ferrari Group or Ferrari sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ferrari Group's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ferrari stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Ferrari Group PLC has an alpha of 0.1781, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Ferrari Group's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how ferrari stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Ferrari Group Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Ferrari Group Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Ferrari Group is 638.12. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 3.19 and standard deviation of 1.79. The mean deviation of Ferrari Group PLC is currently at 1.28. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.74
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
1.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Ferrari Group Stock Return Volatility

Ferrari Group historical daily return volatility represents how much of Ferrari Group stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 1.7866% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7029% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

HEIJMPNL
ALFENPNL
SIFGENVI
ENVIPNL
SIFGBRNL
SIFGHYDRA
  

High negative correlations

HEIJMHYDRA
HEIJMBRNL
MOREALFEN
HYDRAPNL
MOREPNL
MOREBRNL

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Ferrari Stock performing well and Ferrari Group Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Ferrari Group's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.

Ferrari Group Investment Opportunity

Ferrari Group PLC has a volatility of 1.79 and is 2.56 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 16 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Ferrari Group. You can use Ferrari Group PLC to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a moderate upward volatility. Check odds of Ferrari Group to be traded at 10.56 in 90 days.

Significant diversification

The correlation between Ferrari Group PLC and DJI is 0.04 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ferrari Group PLC and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Ferrari Group Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ferrari Group's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ferrari Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Ferrari Group stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Ferrari Group Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Ferrari Group as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Ferrari Group's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Ferrari Group's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Ferrari Group PLC.

Complementary Tools for Ferrari Stock analysis

When running Ferrari Group's price analysis, check to measure Ferrari Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ferrari Group is operating at the current time. Most of Ferrari Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ferrari Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ferrari Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ferrari Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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