Four Leaf Acquisition Stock Volatility
| FORL Stock | 11.04 0.01 0.09% |
As of now, Four Stock is very steady. Four Leaf Acquisition secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0593, which denotes the company had a 0.0593% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Four Leaf Acquisition, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Four Leaf's Downside Deviation of 0.2019, mean deviation of 0.0427, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2328.14 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0057%. Key indicators related to Four Leaf's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Four Leaf Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Four daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Four's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Four Leaf volatility.
Four |
ESG Sustainability
While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Four Leaf's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Four Leaf's managers and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Four Leaf at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Four stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving together with Four Stock
| 0.66 | BN | Brookfield Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.79 | BX | Blackstone Group Fiscal Year End 23rd of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.63 | CG | Carlyle Group | PairCorr |
| 0.74 | APO | Apollo Global Management | PairCorr |
| 0.68 | AXP | American Express Fiscal Year End 24th of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.72 | BAM | Brookfield Asset Man | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | BEN | Franklin Resources | PairCorr |
| 0.69 | BLK | BlackRock Fiscal Year End 10th of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | KKR | KKR Co LP Normal Trading | PairCorr |
Moving against Four Stock
Four Leaf Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Four Leaf's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Four stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Four stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Four Leaf's beta of 0.0079 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Four Leaf stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Four Leaf Acquisition exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.01 and kurtosis of 13.42. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Four Leaf's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Four Leaf's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Four Leaf Acquisition Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Four Leaf correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Four Beta |
Four standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.0965 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Four Leaf's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Four Leaf's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in four stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Four Leaf.
Four Leaf Acquisition Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Four Leaf stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Four Leaf's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Four Leaf's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Four Leaf's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Four Leaf's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Four Leaf's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Four Leaf's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Four Leaf's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Four Leaf Acquisition Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Four Leaf Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Four Leaf has a beta of 0.0079 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Four Leaf average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Four Leaf Acquisition will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Four Leaf or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Four Leaf's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Four stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Four Leaf Acquisition has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Four Leaf Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Four Leaf Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Four Leaf is 1687.17. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.01 and standard deviation of 0.1. The mean deviation of Four Leaf Acquisition is currently at 0.04. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0068 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -1.3 |
Four Leaf Stock Return Volatility
Four Leaf historical daily return volatility represents how much of Four Leaf stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 0.0965% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7716% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Four Leaf Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Four Leaf or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Four Leaf may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Four's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Four Leaf and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Four Leaf fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Market Cap | 45.5 M | 61.8 M |
Four Leaf's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Four Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Four Leaf's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Four Leaf's volatility to invest better
Higher Four Leaf's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Four Leaf Acquisition stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Four Leaf Acquisition stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Four Leaf Acquisition investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Four Leaf's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Four Leaf's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Four Leaf Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.77 and is 7.7 times more volatile than Four Leaf Acquisition. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Four Leaf Acquisition is lower than 0 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Four Leaf Acquisition to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Four Leaf to be traded at 10.93 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between Four Leaf Acquisition and DJI is 0.06 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Four Leaf Acquisition and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Four Leaf Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Four Leaf's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Four Leaf's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Four Leaf stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.73) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.0427 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.0307 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.2019 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2328.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.0971 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Four Leaf Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Four Leaf as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Four Leaf's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Four Leaf's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Four Leaf Acquisition.
When determining whether Four Leaf Acquisition is a strong investment it is important to analyze Four Leaf's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Four Leaf's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Four Stock, refer to the following important reports: Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Four Leaf Acquisition. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Four Leaf. If investors know Four will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Four Leaf listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | Earnings Share 0.1 | Return On Assets (0.02) | Return On Equity 2.1828 |
The market value of Four Leaf Acquisition is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Four that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Four Leaf's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Four Leaf's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Four Leaf's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Four Leaf's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Four Leaf's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Four Leaf is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Four Leaf's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.