AJ LUCAS (Germany) Volatility
| FW9 Stock | EUR 0.0005 0.0005 50.00% |
AJ LUCAS is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. AJ LUCAS GROUP retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0642, which signifies that the company had a 0.0642% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.79% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use AJ LUCAS GROUP Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.68), standard deviation of 29.11, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1646.66 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Key indicators related to AJ LUCAS's volatility include:
210 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 210 Days Economic Sensitivity |
AJ LUCAS Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of FW9 daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use FW9's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of AJ LUCAS volatility.
FW9 |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as AJ LUCAS can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of AJ LUCAS at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of AJ LUCAS's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving against FW9 Stock
AJ LUCAS Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
AJ LUCAS's beta coefficient measures the volatility of FW9 stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents FW9 stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, AJ LUCAS's beta of -2.55 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk AJ LUCAS stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. AJ LUCAS GROUP is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. AJ LUCAS GROUP appears to be a penny stock. Although AJ LUCAS GROUP may be, in fact, a solid short-term or long term investment, many penny stocks are speculative investment instruments that are often subject to artificial stock promotion and campaigns of hype which may lead to misinformation and misrepresentation. Please make sure you fully understand upside potential and downside risks of investing in AJ LUCAS GROUP or similar risky assets. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswing without any event/news,and sudden news releases. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company President, CEO or other officers before investing in high-volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on FW9 instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze AJ LUCAS GROUP Demand TrendCheck current 90 days AJ LUCAS correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)FW9 Beta |
FW9 standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 27.97 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by AJ LUCAS's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of AJ LUCAS's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in fw9 stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in AJ LUCAS.
AJ LUCAS GROUP Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which AJ LUCAS stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with AJ LUCAS's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of AJ LUCAS's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of AJ LUCAS's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures AJ LUCAS's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict AJ LUCAS's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for AJ LUCAS's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on AJ LUCAS's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. AJ LUCAS GROUP Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
AJ LUCAS Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon AJ LUCAS GROUP has a beta of -2.5474 . This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding AJ LUCAS GROUP are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, AJ LUCAS is expected to outperform its benchmark.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AJ LUCAS or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AJ LUCAS's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a FW9 stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
AJ LUCAS GROUP has an alpha of 2.0827, implying that it can generate a 2.08 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an AJ LUCAS Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.AJ LUCAS Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of AJ LUCAS is 1558.32. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 782.32 and standard deviation of 27.97. The mean deviation of AJ LUCAS GROUP is currently at 14.94. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 27.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
AJ LUCAS Stock Return Volatility
AJ LUCAS historical daily return volatility represents how much of AJ LUCAS stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 27.97% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7444% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About AJ LUCAS Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of AJ LUCAS or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of AJ LUCAS may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to FW9's beta indicator, it measures the risk of AJ LUCAS and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of AJ LUCAS fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.AJ Lucas Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides drilling services in Australia. AJ Lucas Group Limited is a subsidiary of Kerogen Investments No. 1 Limited. AJ LUCAS operates under Coking Coal classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 295 people.
AJ LUCAS's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on FW9 Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much AJ LUCAS's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize AJ LUCAS's volatility to invest better
Higher AJ LUCAS's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of AJ LUCAS GROUP stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. AJ LUCAS GROUP stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of AJ LUCAS GROUP investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in AJ LUCAS's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of AJ LUCAS's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
AJ LUCAS Investment Opportunity
AJ LUCAS GROUP has a volatility of 27.97 and is 37.8 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of AJ LUCAS GROUP is higher than 96 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use AJ LUCAS GROUP to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of AJ LUCAS to be traded at €5.0E-4 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between AJ LUCAS GROUP and DJI is -0.07 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding AJ LUCAS GROUP and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
AJ LUCAS Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of AJ LUCAS's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AJ LUCAS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of AJ LUCAS stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0562 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.68) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 16.18 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 17.77 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 42.16 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1646.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 29.11 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
AJ LUCAS Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against AJ LUCAS as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. AJ LUCAS's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, AJ LUCAS's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to AJ LUCAS GROUP.
Complementary Tools for FW9 Stock analysis
When running AJ LUCAS's price analysis, check to measure AJ LUCAS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AJ LUCAS is operating at the current time. Most of AJ LUCAS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AJ LUCAS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AJ LUCAS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AJ LUCAS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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