First Wave BioPharma Volatility
| FWBIDelisted Stock | USD 0.61 0.03 4.69% |
We have found twenty-three technical indicators for First Wave BioPharma, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm First Wave's Standard Deviation of 8.39, mean deviation of 5.73, and Variance of 70.44 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0%. Key indicators related to First Wave's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
First Wave Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of First daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use First's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of First Wave volatility.
First |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of First Wave at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase First stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving together with First Stock
| 0.67 | TCHH | Trustcash Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | SHG | Shinhan Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | EC | Ecopetrol SA ADR | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | HYMTF | Hyundai Motor | PairCorr |
Moving against First Stock
| 0.91 | AA | Alcoa Corp Fiscal Year End 15th of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.9 | CSCO | Cisco Systems Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
| 0.88 | CVX | Chevron Corp Fiscal Year End 7th of February 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.88 | AXP | American Express Fiscal Year End 24th of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | WMT | Walmart Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | BAC | Bank of America Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
| 0.84 | HPQ | HP Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | JPM | JPMorgan Chase Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | CAT | Caterpillar Fiscal Year End 3rd of February 2025 | PairCorr |
First Wave Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
First Wave's beta coefficient measures the volatility of First stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents First stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, First Wave's beta of 1.04 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk First Wave stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. First Wave BioPharma is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. First Wave BioPharma is a potential penny stock. Although First Wave may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in First Wave BioPharma. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on First instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny delisted stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze First Wave BioPharma Demand TrendCheck current 90 days First Wave correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)First Beta |
First standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.0 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by First Wave's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of First Wave's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in first stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in First Wave.
First Wave BioPharma Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which First Wave delisted stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with First Wave's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of First Wave's stock to predict their future moves. A delisted stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile delisted stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of First Wave's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of delisted stock volatility measures First Wave's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict First Wave's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for First Wave's current market price. This means that the delisted stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on First Wave's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
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First Wave Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.042 . This usually indicates First Wave BioPharma market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Wave is expected to follow.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to First Wave or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that First Wave's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a First delisted stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
First Wave BioPharma has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a First Wave Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a delisted stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.First Wave Stock Return Volatility
First Wave historical daily return volatility represents how much of First Wave delisted stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 0.0% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7736% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About First Wave Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of First Wave or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of First Wave may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to First's beta indicator, it measures the risk of First Wave and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of First Wave fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.First Wave BioPharma, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research and development of targeted and non-systemic therapies for the treatment of patients with gastrointestinal diseases. First Wave BioPharma, Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida. First Wave operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 17 people.
First Wave's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on First Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much First Wave's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize First Wave's volatility to invest better
Higher First Wave's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of First Wave BioPharma stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. First Wave BioPharma stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of First Wave BioPharma investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in First Wave's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of First Wave's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
First Wave Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.77 and is 9.223372036854776E16 times more volatile than First Wave BioPharma. 0 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than First Wave. You can use First Wave BioPharma to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of First Wave to be traded at $0.5795 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between First Wave BioPharma and DJI is 0.09 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Wave BioPharma and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
First Wave Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of First Wave's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Wave's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of First Wave stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.15) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (1.73) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 5.73 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (466.36) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.39 | |||
| Variance | 70.44 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar delisted stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
First Wave Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against First Wave as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. First Wave's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, First Wave's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to First Wave BioPharma.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Other Consideration for investing in First Stock
If you are still planning to invest in First Wave BioPharma check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the First Wave's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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