Proshares Ultrashort Gold Etf Volatility
| GLL Etf | USD 17.47 0.96 5.81% |
ProShares UltraShort Gold maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0527, which implies the entity had a -0.0527% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. ProShares UltraShort Gold exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check ProShares UltraShort's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), coefficient of variation of (2,055), and Variance of 3.81 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to ProShares UltraShort's volatility include:
510 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 510 Days Economic Sensitivity |
ProShares UltraShort Etf volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of ProShares daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use ProShares's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of ProShares UltraShort volatility.
ProShares |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with ProShares UltraShort. They may decide to buy additional shares of ProShares UltraShort at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving together with ProShares Etf
| 0.95 | ZSL | ProShares UltraShort | PairCorr |
| 0.89 | GDXD | MicroSectors Gold Miners | PairCorr |
| 0.84 | DZZ | DB Gold Double | PairCorr |
| 0.84 | DGZ | DB Gold Short | PairCorr |
| 1.0 | DULL | MicroSectors Gold | PairCorr |
Moving against ProShares Etf
| 0.65 | DSJA | DSJA | PairCorr |
| 0.63 | ITDD | iShares Trust | PairCorr |
| 0.58 | DGLDF | VelocityShares 3x Inverse | PairCorr |
| 0.57 | PUTW | WisdomTree CBOE SP | PairCorr |
| 0.52 | RSPY | Tuttle Capital Management | PairCorr |
| 0.37 | MEME | Roundhill Investments | PairCorr |
ProShares UltraShort Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
ProShares UltraShort's beta coefficient measures the volatility of ProShares etf compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents ProShares etf's returns against your selected market. In other words, ProShares UltraShort's beta of 0.3 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk ProShares UltraShort etf can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. ProShares UltraShort Gold exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.84 and kurtosis of 1.48. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ProShares UltraShort's etf risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ProShares UltraShort's etf price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze ProShares UltraShort Gold Demand TrendCheck current 90 days ProShares UltraShort correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)ProShares Beta |
ProShares standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.97 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by ProShares UltraShort's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of ProShares UltraShort's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in proshares etf tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in ProShares UltraShort.
ProShares UltraShort Gold Etf Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which ProShares UltraShort etf price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with ProShares UltraShort's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of ProShares UltraShort's etf to predict their future moves. A etf that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A etf with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile etf is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of ProShares UltraShort's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of etf volatility measures ProShares UltraShort's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict ProShares UltraShort's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the etf.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for ProShares UltraShort's current market price. This means that the etf will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on ProShares UltraShort's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. ProShares UltraShort Gold Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
ProShares UltraShort Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares UltraShort has a beta of 0.3025 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, ProShares UltraShort average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ProShares UltraShort Gold will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ProShares UltraShort or ProShares sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ProShares UltraShort's price will be affected by overall etf market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ProShares etf's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
ProShares UltraShort Gold has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a ProShares UltraShort Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a etf's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.ProShares UltraShort Etf Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of ProShares UltraShort is -1896.65. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 3.88 and standard deviation of 1.97. The mean deviation of ProShares UltraShort Gold is currently at 1.48. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
ProShares UltraShort Etf Return Volatility
ProShares UltraShort historical daily return volatility represents how much of ProShares UltraShort etf's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The ETF venture has volatility of 1.9709% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7796% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About ProShares UltraShort Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of ProShares UltraShort or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of ProShares UltraShort may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to ProShares's beta indicator, it measures the risk of ProShares UltraShort and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of ProShares UltraShort fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.The fund seeks to meet its investment objective by investing under normal market conditions in any one of, or combinations of, Financial Instruments based on the funds benchmark. Ultrashort Gold is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
ProShares UltraShort's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on ProShares Etf over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much ProShares UltraShort's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize ProShares UltraShort's volatility to invest better
Higher ProShares UltraShort's etf volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of ProShares UltraShort Gold etf is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. ProShares UltraShort Gold etf volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of ProShares UltraShort Gold investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in ProShares UltraShort's etf can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of ProShares UltraShort's etf relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
ProShares UltraShort Investment Opportunity
ProShares UltraShort Gold has a volatility of 1.97 and is 2.53 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of ProShares UltraShort Gold is lower than 17 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use ProShares UltraShort Gold to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The etf experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of ProShares UltraShort to be traded at $21.84 in 90 days.Average diversification
The correlation between ProShares UltraShort Gold and DJI is 0.12 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares UltraShort Gold and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
ProShares UltraShort Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of ProShares UltraShort's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ProShares UltraShort's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of ProShares UltraShort etf's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.34) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,055) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Variance | 3.81 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential etfs, we recommend comparing similar etfs with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
ProShares UltraShort Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against ProShares UltraShort as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. ProShares UltraShort's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, ProShares UltraShort's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to ProShares UltraShort Gold.
When determining whether ProShares UltraShort Gold is a strong investment it is important to analyze ProShares UltraShort's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ProShares UltraShort's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ProShares Etf, refer to the following important reports: Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ProShares UltraShort Gold. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
The market value of ProShares UltraShort Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ProShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ProShares UltraShort's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ProShares UltraShort's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ProShares UltraShort's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ProShares UltraShort's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares UltraShort's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares UltraShort is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ProShares UltraShort's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.