Graphisoft Park (Germany) Volatility

GUV Stock  EUR 13.80  0.50  3.76%   
Graphisoft Park appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Graphisoft Park SE holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.14, which attests that the entity had a 0.14 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. By evaluating Graphisoft Park's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.56% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Graphisoft Park's market risk adjusted performance of (1.42), and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0674 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1445

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Estimated Market Risk

 3.88
  actual daily
34
66% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.56
  actual daily
11
89% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.14
  actual daily
11
89% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Graphisoft Park is performing at about 11% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Graphisoft Park by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Graphisoft Park's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Graphisoft Park Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Graphisoft daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Graphisoft's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Graphisoft Park volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Graphisoft Park can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Graphisoft Park at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Graphisoft Park's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Main indicators related to Graphisoft Park's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
(0.22)
Alpha
0.32
Risk
3.88
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Expected Return
0.56

Moving together with Graphisoft Stock

  0.81943 FREY EO 250PairCorr
  0.7GZF Engie SAPairCorr
  0.67PKE Park Aerospace CorpPairCorr
  0.62CU3 Cohu Inc Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.8MUM Mensch und MaschinePairCorr
  0.78UEO Westlake ChemicalPairCorr
  0.69SSU Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr
  0.86JUN3 Jungheinrich AG ONVZOPairCorr
  0.7WDC WESTERN DIGITALPairCorr
  0.748SF SLIGRO FOOD GROUP Earnings Call ShortlyPairCorr
  0.652MF MOBILE FACTORY INCPairCorr
  0.814HF Hoist Finance AB Earnings Call TomorrowPairCorr
  0.73NEF NESTE OIL Earnings Call TodayPairCorr
  0.81WWR Woolworths GroupPairCorr
  0.81MUM Mensch und MaschinePairCorr

Moving against Graphisoft Stock

  0.81BDD CONICO LTD SplitPairCorr
  0.65ABHA HASEN IMMOBILIEN NPairCorr
  0.34TTO TTL Beteiligungs undPairCorr

Graphisoft Park Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Graphisoft Park's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Graphisoft stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Graphisoft stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Graphisoft Park's beta of -0.22 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Graphisoft Park stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Graphisoft Park SE shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Graphisoft Park's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Graphisoft Park's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Check current 90 days Graphisoft Park correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.32   β-0.22
3 Months Beta |Analyze Graphisoft Park SE Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Graphisoft Park correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Graphisoft Park Volatility and Downside Risk

Graphisoft standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Graphisoft Park SE Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Graphisoft Park stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Graphisoft Park's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Graphisoft Park's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Graphisoft Park's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Graphisoft Park's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Graphisoft Park's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Graphisoft Park's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Graphisoft Park's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Graphisoft Park SE Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Graphisoft Park Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Graphisoft Park SE has a beta of -0.2172 . This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Graphisoft Park are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Graphisoft Park SE is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Graphisoft Park or Real Estate Management & Development sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Graphisoft Park's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Graphisoft stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Graphisoft Park SE has an alpha of 0.3232, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Graphisoft Park's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how graphisoft stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Graphisoft Park Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Graphisoft Park Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Graphisoft Park is 692.08. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 15.05 and standard deviation of 3.88. The mean deviation of Graphisoft Park SE is currently at 1.96. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.74
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.22
σ
Overall volatility
3.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Graphisoft Park Stock Return Volatility

Graphisoft Park historical daily return volatility represents how much of Graphisoft Park stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 3.88% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7533% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

GG7HAM
COEGG7
US8HAM
US8GG7
COEUS8
UWSHAM
  

High negative correlations

UWS2LH
2LHGG7
2LHHAM
COE2LH
US82LH
G4A2LH

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Graphisoft Stock performing well and Graphisoft Park Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Graphisoft Park's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.

About Graphisoft Park Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Graphisoft Park or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Graphisoft Park may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Graphisoft's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Graphisoft Park and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Graphisoft Park fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Graphisoft Park SE Real Estate Development European Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in real estate development and management activities in Hungary. It develops and operates Graphisoft Park, an office park that includes 61,000 square meters of office, laboratory, and educational space. GRAPHISOFT PARK operates under Real Estate Services classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 22 people.
Graphisoft Park's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Graphisoft Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Graphisoft Park's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Graphisoft Park's volatility to invest better

Higher Graphisoft Park's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Graphisoft Park SE stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Graphisoft Park SE stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Graphisoft Park SE investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Graphisoft Park's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Graphisoft Park's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Graphisoft Park Investment Opportunity

Graphisoft Park SE has a volatility of 3.88 and is 5.17 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Graphisoft Park SE is lower than 34 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Graphisoft Park SE to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of Graphisoft Park to be traded at €16.56 in 90 days.

Very poor diversification

The correlation between Graphisoft Park SE and DJI is 0.81 (i.e., Very poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Graphisoft Park SE and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Graphisoft Park Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Graphisoft Park's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Graphisoft Park's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Graphisoft Park stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Graphisoft Park Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Graphisoft Park as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Graphisoft Park's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Graphisoft Park's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Graphisoft Park SE.

Complementary Tools for Graphisoft Stock analysis

When running Graphisoft Park's price analysis, check to measure Graphisoft Park's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Graphisoft Park is operating at the current time. Most of Graphisoft Park's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Graphisoft Park's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Graphisoft Park's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Graphisoft Park to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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