Western Asset High Fund Volatility

HIX Fund  USD 4.23  0.01  0.24%   
At this stage we consider Western Fund to be not too volatile. Western Asset High shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.11, which attests that the fund had a 0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Western Asset High, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check out Western Asset's Mean Deviation of 0.477, market risk adjusted performance of 0.4137, and Downside Deviation of 0.6777 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.065%.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1078

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Based on monthly moving average Western Asset is performing at about 8% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Western Asset by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Western Asset's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Western Asset Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Western daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Western's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Western Asset volatility.
  
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Western Asset. They may decide to buy additional shares of Western Asset at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.

Moving together with Western Fund

  0.75SMPIX Semiconductor Ultrasector Steady GrowthPairCorr
  0.72SMPSX Semiconductor Ultrasector Steady GrowthPairCorr
  0.72PMPIX Precious Metals Ultr Steady GrowthPairCorr
  0.72PMPSX Precious Metals Ultr Steady GrowthPairCorr
  0.71FGADX Franklin Gold PreciousPairCorr
  0.71FGPMX Franklin Gold AndPairCorr
  0.7OCMGX Ocm Mutual FundPairCorr
  0.7INIYX International Investors Steady GrowthPairCorr
  0.62FKRCX Franklin Gold PreciousPairCorr
  0.7OCMAX Ocm Mutual FundPairCorr
  0.81MHESX Mh Elite SelectPairCorr
  0.78BBALX Northern Global TacticalPairCorr
  0.71MVALX Meridian ContrarianPairCorr
  0.68DFSVX Us Small CapPairCorr
  0.77MFFPX Mfs Lifetime 2050PairCorr
  0.82PHIKX Columbia ConvertiblePairCorr
  0.71SZCCX Deutsche Small CapPairCorr
  0.82LMIAX Columbia Amt FreePairCorr
  0.77RPFDX T Rowe PricePairCorr
  0.75CCLTX American Funds 2065PairCorr
  0.66ESMYX Invesco European SmallPairCorr
  0.76HIPAX The Hartford InflationPairCorr
  0.71SPGEX Symmetry Panoramic GlobalPairCorr
  0.88GWLIX Aberdeen Gbl EqPairCorr
  0.86TEOJX Transamerica EmergingPairCorr
  0.85FCMAX Fidelity CaliforniaPairCorr
  0.76ONCIX Oppenheimer CnsrvtvPairCorr
  0.65BLNAX Balanced Fund AdviserPairCorr

Western Asset Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Western Asset's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Western fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Western fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Western Asset's beta of 0.0875 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Western Asset fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Western Asset High exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.08 and kurtosis of -0.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Western Asset's fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Western Asset's fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Check current 90 days Western Asset correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.03   β0.09
3 Months Beta |Analyze Western Asset High Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Western Asset correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Western Asset Volatility and Downside Risk

Western standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Western Asset High Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Western Asset fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Western Asset's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Western Asset's fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Western Asset's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of fund volatility measures Western Asset's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Western Asset's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the fund.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Western Asset's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Western Asset's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Western Asset High Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Western Asset Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Western Asset has a beta of 0.0875 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Western Asset average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Western Asset High will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Western Asset or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Western Asset's price will be affected by overall fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Western fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Western Asset High has an alpha of 0.0272, implying that it can generate a 0.0272 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Western Asset's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how western fund's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Western Asset Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Western Asset Fund Risk Measures

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Western Asset is 927.85. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.36 and standard deviation of 0.6. The mean deviation of Western Asset High is currently at 0.48. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.79
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Western Asset Fund Return Volatility

Western Asset historical daily return volatility represents how much of Western Asset fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund has volatility of 0.6033% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7876% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

HRMVXTRACX
HNMVXHRMVX
HRMVXNCZ
HNMVXTRACX
TRACXNCZ
HNMVXNCZ
  

High negative correlations

XFLTHIO
HRMVXXFLT
XFLTTRACX
XFLTPPT
XFLTNCZ
HNMVXXFLT

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Western Fund performing well and Western Asset Fund doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Western Asset's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.
Mean DeviationJensen AlphaSortino RatioTreynor RatioSemi DeviationExpected ShortfallPotential UpsideValue @RiskMaximum Drawdown
HIO  0.41  0.03 (0.09) 0.22  0.35 
 0.82 
 2.18 
HPF  0.29 (0.02) 0.00 (0.16) 0.00 
 0.56 
 1.36 
NCZ  0.74  0.06  0.04  0.17  0.72 
 2.14 
 4.66 
HYI  0.25 (0.01)(0.22) 0.06  0.27 
 0.63 
 1.47 
TRACX  0.76  0.12  0.14  0.21  0.54 
 2.28 
 4.90 
PPT  0.47  0.01 (0.11) 0.12  0.49 
 1.13 
 2.54 
XFLT  0.80 (0.23) 0.00  1.65  0.00 
 1.36 
 5.16 
VKI  0.42  0.07 (0.04)(1.41) 0.40 
 1.01 
 2.55 
HRMVX  0.67  0.12  0.15  0.23  0.43 
 2.15 
 3.52 
HNMVX  0.81  0.24  0.31  0.34  0.15 
 2.26 
 9.52 

About Western Asset Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Western Asset or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Western Asset may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Western's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Western Asset and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Western Asset fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Western Asset High Income Fund II Inc. is a closed-ended fixed income mutual fund launched and managed by Legg Mason Partners Fund Advisor, LLC. The fund is co-managed by Western Asset Management Company, Western Asset Management Company Limited, and Western Asset Management Company Pte. Ltd. It invests in the fixed income markets across the globe. The fund invests in securities of companies that operate across diversified sectors. It invests in high yield debt securities issued by U.S., foreign corporations and foreign governments. The fund employs a combination of quantitative and fundamental analysis with bottom-up security selection process to create its portfolio. It benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against Barclays Capital U.S. Corporate High Yield 2 percent Issuer Cap Index and the JPMorgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Global. Western Asset High Income Fund II, Inc. was formed on May 28, 1998 and is domiciled in the United States.
Western Asset's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Western Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Western Asset's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Western Asset's volatility to invest better

Higher Western Asset's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Western Asset High fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Western Asset High fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Western Asset High investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Western Asset's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Western Asset's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Western Asset Investment Opportunity

Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.79 and is 1.32 times more volatile than Western Asset High. 5 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Western Asset. You can use Western Asset High to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The fund experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Western Asset to be traded at $4.19 in 90 days.

Poor diversification

The correlation between Western Asset High and DJI is 0.64 (i.e., Poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Western Asset High and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Western Asset Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Western Asset's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Western Asset's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Western Asset fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Western Asset Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Western Asset as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Western Asset's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Western Asset's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Western Asset High.

Other Information on Investing in Western Fund

Western Asset financial ratios help investors to determine whether Western Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Western with respect to the benefits of owning Western Asset security.
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