Illuvium Volatility
| ILV Crypto | USD 43.13 2.12 5.17% |
Illuvium holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0067, which attests that digital coin had a -0.0067% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Illuvium exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Illuvium's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.015, market risk adjusted performance of 0.2327, and Downside Deviation of 5.8 to validate the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Illuvium's volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk | Risk of Devaluation | 720 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Illuvium Crypto Coin volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Illuvium daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Illuvium's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Illuvium volatility.
Illuvium |
Since volatility provides cryptocurrency investors with entry points to take advantage of coin prices, investors in projects such as Illuvium can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for traders who play the long game. Here, they may buy additional Illuvium shares at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Illuvium coin that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Illuvium's crypto rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other coins with better opportunities. Investing in volatile markets will allow investors in evolving Defi or crypto projects such as Illuvium to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Illuvium Crypto Coin
Illuvium Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Illuvium's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Illuvium crypto coin compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Illuvium crypto coin's returns against your selected market. In other words, Illuvium's beta of 0.17 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Illuvium crypto coin can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Illuvium exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. We encourage cryptocurrency investors to investigate Illuvium individually to make sure intended market timing strategies and available technical indicators are consistent with their estimates about Illuvium projected systematic risk. Please note that many cryptocurrencies are speculative and subject to artificial price hype. Ensure you understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Illuvium. We encourage all cryptocurrency investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before the public announcements. Please also check the biographies and work history of current and past project contributors before investing in high-volatility crypto coins. You can indeed make money on Illuvium if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that cryptos that have been the subject of artificial hype usually cannot maintain its increased price for more than a few days. The price of a promoted high-volatility instrument will almost always revert. The only way to increase coin holder value is through legitimate performance analysis backed up by solid fundamentals of the project the coin represents. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Illuvium's crypto coin risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Illuvium's price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different cryptos as prices fall or investing in DeFi projects.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Illuvium Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Illuvium correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Illuvium Beta |
Illuvium standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 5.67 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Illuvium's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Illuvium's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in illuvium crypto coin tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Illuvium.
Illuvium Crypto Coin Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Illuvium crypto price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Illuvium's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Illuvium's crypto coin to predict their future moves. A crypto that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A crypto coin with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile crypto is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Illuvium's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of crypto volatility measures Illuvium's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Illuvium's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the crypto coin.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Illuvium's current market price. This means that the crypto will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Illuvium's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Illuvium Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Illuvium Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Illuvium has a beta of 0.1702 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Illuvium average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Illuvium will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded cryptocurrencies are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or coin-specific or project-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Illuvium project will adversely affect the coin's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different digital assets on different exchanges whose coin prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Illuvium's price will be affected by overall cryptocurrency market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Illuvium crypto's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Illuvium has an alpha of 0.0234, implying that it can generate a 0.0234 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
Illuvium Crypto Coin Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Illuvium is -14844.83. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 32.16 and standard deviation of 5.67. The mean deviation of Illuvium is currently at 4.24. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0084 |
Illuvium Crypto Coin Return Volatility
Illuvium historical daily return volatility represents how much of Illuvium crypto's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. Keep in mind that cryptocurrencies such as Illuvium have only been around for a short time and are still in the price discovery phase. This means that prices will continue to change as investors and governments work through the initial concerns until prices stabilize, provided a stable point can be reached. Illuvium assumes 5.6712% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7608% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Illuvium Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Illuvium or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Illuvium may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Illuvium's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Illuvium and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Illuvium fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize Illuvium's volatility to invest better
Higher Illuvium's crypto volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Illuvium crypto is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Illuvium crypto volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Illuvium investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Illuvium's crypto can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Illuvium's crypto relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Illuvium Investment Opportunity
Illuvium has a volatility of 5.67 and is 7.46 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 50 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Illuvium. You can use Illuvium to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The crypto coin experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Illuvium to be traded at $53.91 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between Illuvium and DJI is 0.02 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Illuvium and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. Please note that Illuvium is a digital instrument and cryptocurrency exchanges were notoriously volatile since the beginning of their establishment.
Illuvium Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Illuvium's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Illuvium's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Illuvium crypto coin's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.015 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2327 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.71 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.8 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 11833.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.67 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential crypto coins, we recommend comparing similar cryptos with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Illuvium Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Illuvium as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Illuvium's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Illuvium's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Illuvium.
When determining whether Illuvium offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Illuvium's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Illuvium Crypto. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Illuvium. Also, note that the market value of any cryptocurrency could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.