John Marshall Bancorp Stock Volatility
| JMSB Stock | USD 23.19 0.67 2.81% |
John Marshall appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. John Marshall Bancorp holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.1, which attests that the entity had a 0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for John Marshall Bancorp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize John Marshall's Downside Deviation of 2.67, market risk adjusted performance of 0.135, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0834 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to John Marshall's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
John Marshall Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of John daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use John's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of John Marshall volatility.
John |
ESG Sustainability
While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, John Marshall's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to John Marshall's managers and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as John Marshall can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of John Marshall at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of John Marshall's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving together with John Stock
| 0.85 | AX | Axos Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | BY | Byline Bancorp Fiscal Year End 23rd of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.87 | PB | Prosperity Bancshares Fiscal Year End 22nd of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.91 | RF | Regions Financial Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | VABK | Virginia National | PairCorr |
Moving against John Stock
| 0.6 | TFC-PO | Truist Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.55 | TFC-PR | Truist Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.54 | CFG-PE | Citizens Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | WF | Woori Financial Group | PairCorr |
John Marshall Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
John Marshall's beta coefficient measures the volatility of John stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents John stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, John Marshall's beta of 2.27 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk John Marshall stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. John Marshall Bancorp currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.01. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure John Marshall's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact John Marshall's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze John Marshall Bancorp Demand TrendCheck current 90 days John Marshall correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)John Beta |
John standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.97 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by John Marshall's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of John Marshall's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in john stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in John Marshall.
John Marshall Bancorp Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which John Marshall stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with John Marshall's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of John Marshall's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of John Marshall's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures John Marshall's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict John Marshall's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for John Marshall's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on John Marshall's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. John Marshall Bancorp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
John Marshall Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.272 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, John Marshall will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to John Marshall or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that John Marshall's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a John stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
John Marshall Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0105, implying that it can generate a 0.0105 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a John Marshall Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.John Marshall Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of John Marshall is 990.75. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 8.82 and standard deviation of 2.97. The mean deviation of John Marshall Bancorp is currently at 2.18. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
John Marshall Stock Return Volatility
John Marshall historical daily return volatility represents how much of John Marshall stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 2.9706% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7716% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About John Marshall Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of John Marshall or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of John Marshall may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to John's beta indicator, it measures the risk of John Marshall and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of John Marshall fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 288 K | 331.7 K | |
| Market Cap | 360.9 M | 378.9 M |
John Marshall's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on John Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much John Marshall's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize John Marshall's volatility to invest better
Higher John Marshall's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of John Marshall Bancorp stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. John Marshall Bancorp stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of John Marshall Bancorp investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in John Marshall's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of John Marshall's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
John Marshall Investment Opportunity
John Marshall Bancorp has a volatility of 2.97 and is 3.86 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 26 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than John Marshall. You can use John Marshall Bancorp to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of John Marshall to be traded at $22.26 in 90 days.Very weak diversification
The correlation between John Marshall Bancorp and DJI is 0.59 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding John Marshall Bancorp and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
John Marshall Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of John Marshall's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in John Marshall's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of John Marshall stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0834 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.135 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.53 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1006.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.96 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
John Marshall Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against John Marshall as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. John Marshall's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, John Marshall's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to John Marshall Bancorp.
Complementary Tools for John Stock analysis
When running John Marshall's price analysis, check to measure John Marshall's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy John Marshall is operating at the current time. Most of John Marshall's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of John Marshall's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move John Marshall's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of John Marshall to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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