Kedaung Indah (Indonesia) Volatility

KICI Stock  IDR 121.00  1.00  0.83%   
Kedaung Indah appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Kedaung Indah Can has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0386, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0386% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Kedaung Indah, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Kedaung Indah's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0283, mean deviation of 2.91, and Downside Deviation of 3.8 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Kedaung Indah's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Kedaung Indah Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Kedaung daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Kedaung's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Kedaung Indah volatility.
  
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Kedaung Indah at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Kedaung stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.

Moving together with Kedaung Stock

  0.74ITMA Sumber Energi AndalanPairCorr
  0.73BBRM Pelayaran Nasional BinaPairCorr

Moving against Kedaung Stock

  0.5BYAN Bayan Resources TbkPairCorr

Kedaung Indah Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Kedaung Indah's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Kedaung stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Kedaung stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Kedaung Indah's beta of -0.63 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Kedaung Indah stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Kedaung Indah Can shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Kedaung Indah's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Kedaung Indah's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Kedaung Indah Can Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Kedaung Indah correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Kedaung Beta

    
  -0.63  
Kedaung standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  5.33  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Kedaung Indah's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Kedaung Indah's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in kedaung stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Kedaung Indah.

Kedaung Indah Can Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Kedaung Indah stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Kedaung Indah's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Kedaung Indah's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Kedaung Indah's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Kedaung Indah's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Kedaung Indah's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Kedaung Indah's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Kedaung Indah's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Kedaung Indah Can Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Kedaung Indah Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kedaung Indah Can has a beta of -0.6344 . This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kedaung Indah are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kedaung Indah Can is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Kedaung Indah or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Kedaung Indah's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Kedaung stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Kedaung Indah Can has an alpha of 0.2029, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Kedaung Indah's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how kedaung stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Kedaung Indah Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Kedaung Indah Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Kedaung Indah is 2590.55. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 28.45 and standard deviation of 5.33. The mean deviation of Kedaung Indah Can is currently at 2.84. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.63
σ
Overall volatility
5.33
Ir
Information ratio 0

Kedaung Indah Stock Return Volatility

Kedaung Indah historical daily return volatility represents how much of Kedaung Indah stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 5.3335% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7796% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Kedaung Indah Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Kedaung Indah or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Kedaung Indah may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Kedaung's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Kedaung Indah and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Kedaung Indah fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
PT Kedaung Indah Can Tbk manufactures and sells enamel-on-steel cookware and cantin products in Indonesia. The company was founded in 1974 and is based in Surabaya, Indonesia. Kedaung Indah is traded on Jakarta Stock Exchange in Indonesia.
Kedaung Indah's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Kedaung Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Kedaung Indah's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Kedaung Indah's volatility to invest better

Higher Kedaung Indah's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Kedaung Indah Can stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Kedaung Indah Can stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Kedaung Indah Can investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Kedaung Indah's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Kedaung Indah's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Kedaung Indah Investment Opportunity

Kedaung Indah Can has a volatility of 5.33 and is 6.83 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 47 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Kedaung Indah. You can use Kedaung Indah Can to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a moderate upward volatility. Check odds of Kedaung Indah to be traded at 133.1 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between Kedaung Indah Can and DJI is -0.09 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Kedaung Indah Can and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Kedaung Indah Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kedaung Indah's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kedaung Indah's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Kedaung Indah stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Kedaung Indah Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Kedaung Indah as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Kedaung Indah's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Kedaung Indah's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Kedaung Indah Can.

Other Information on Investing in Kedaung Stock

Kedaung Indah financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kedaung Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kedaung with respect to the benefits of owning Kedaung Indah security.