Kelly Services (Germany) Volatility

KYSA Stock  EUR 8.05  0.20  2.42%   
Kelly Services appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Kelly Services has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0683, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0683 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Kelly Services, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Kelly Services' Mean Deviation of 2.31, downside deviation of 3.29, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0479 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0683

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Estimated Market Risk

 3.87
  actual daily
34
66% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.26
  actual daily
5
95% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.07
  actual daily
5
95% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Kelly Services is performing at about 5% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Kelly Services by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Kelly Services' volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Kelly Services Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Kelly daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Kelly's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Kelly Services volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Kelly Services can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Kelly Services at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Kelly Services' stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Main indicators related to Kelly Services' market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
0.58
Alpha
0.15
Risk
3.87
Sharpe Ratio
0.0683
Expected Return
0.26

Moving together with Kelly Stock

  0.61YAR Yara International ASAPairCorr
  0.78CWT Curtiss WrightPairCorr
  0.721SZ0 Santacruz Silver Mining SplitPairCorr
  0.66ALV Allianz SE Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.74CPA Colgate PalmolivePairCorr
  0.74BSI BE Semiconductor IndPairCorr
  0.65K34 Konecranes PlcPairCorr
  0.8G40 GDS Holdings LimitedPairCorr
  0.76LOR LOral SAPairCorr
  0.68HKT HK Electric InvestmentsPairCorr
  0.81HBC1 HSBC Holdings plc Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.78FPP0 ALTYNGOLD PLC LSPairCorr
  0.631KT Keysight Technologies Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.64L3X Centrais Elétricas Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr

Moving against Kelly Stock

  0.726YG IMMUNOCORE HLDGS ADS1 Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.648CW Crown Castle InternaPairCorr

Kelly Services Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Kelly Services' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Kelly stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Kelly stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Kelly Services's beta of 0.58 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Kelly Services stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Kelly Services shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Kelly Services' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Kelly Services' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Check current 90 days Kelly Services correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.15   β0.58
3 Months Beta |Analyze Kelly Services Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Kelly Services correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Kelly Services Volatility and Downside Risk

Kelly standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Kelly Services Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Kelly Services stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Kelly Services' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Kelly Services' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Kelly Services' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Kelly Services' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Kelly Services' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Kelly Services' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Kelly Services' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Kelly Services Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Kelly Services Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kelly Services has a beta of 0.5793 . This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kelly Services average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kelly Services will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Kelly Services or Professional Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Kelly Services' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Kelly stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Kelly Services has an alpha of 0.1489, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Kelly Services' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how kelly stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Kelly Services Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Kelly Services Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Kelly Services is 1464.14. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 14.96 and standard deviation of 3.87. The mean deviation of Kelly Services is currently at 2.27. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.58
σ
Overall volatility
3.87
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Kelly Services Stock Return Volatility

Kelly Services historical daily return volatility represents how much of Kelly Services stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company assumes 3.8681% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.746% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

U1PU1P
FTDJMI
PX0JMI
FTDPX0
3GRE55L
RSXJMI
  

High negative correlations

U1P2I7
U1P2I7
3GREJMI
FTD3GRE
FTD55L
JMI55L

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Kelly Stock performing well and Kelly Services Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Kelly Services' multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.
Mean DeviationJensen AlphaSortino RatioTreynor RatioSemi DeviationExpected ShortfallPotential UpsideValue @RiskMaximum Drawdown
2I7  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
 0.00 
 0.00 
55L  82.68  37.57  0.75  1.37  21.59 
 60.00 
 2,195 
JMI  2.93  0.82  0.19  0.99  3.34 
 5.92 
 19.55 
U1P  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
 0.00 
 0.00 
U1P  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
 0.00 
 0.00 
PX0  9.16  1.02  0.07 (2.78) 10.04 
 13.33 
 140.63 
3GRE  27.99  10.81  0.18 (2.26) 17.92 
 23.21 
 866.39 
FTD  1.27  0.29  0.15  6.04  1.17 
 2.89 
 10.97 
RSX  175.03  86.87  0.89  13.74  26.99 
 1,200 
 1,292 

About Kelly Services Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Kelly Services or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Kelly Services may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Kelly's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Kelly Services and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Kelly Services fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Kelly Services, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides workforce solutions to various industries worldwide. Kelly Services, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Troy, Michigan. KELLY SERVS operates under Staffing Outsourcing Services classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 7900 people.
Kelly Services' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Kelly Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Kelly Services' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Kelly Services' volatility to invest better

Higher Kelly Services' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Kelly Services stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Kelly Services stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Kelly Services investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Kelly Services' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Kelly Services' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Kelly Services Investment Opportunity

Kelly Services has a volatility of 3.87 and is 5.16 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Kelly Services is lower than 34 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Kelly Services to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Kelly Services to be traded at €7.73 in 90 days.

Poor diversification

The correlation between Kelly Services and DJI is 0.73 (i.e., Poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Kelly Services and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Kelly Services Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kelly Services' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kelly Services' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Kelly Services stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Kelly Services Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Kelly Services as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Kelly Services' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Kelly Services' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Kelly Services.

Complementary Tools for Kelly Stock analysis

When running Kelly Services' price analysis, check to measure Kelly Services' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kelly Services is operating at the current time. Most of Kelly Services' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kelly Services' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kelly Services' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kelly Services to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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