Loft II (Brazil) Volatility
LFTT11 Fund | BRL 9.50 0.11 1.17% |
Loft II Fundo has Sharpe Ratio of -0.13, which conveys that the entity had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Loft II exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Loft II's Standard Deviation of 5.12, mean deviation of 3.65, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08) to check out the risk estimate we provide.
Loft |
Loft II Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Loft daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Loft's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Loft II volatility.
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Loft II. They may decide to buy additional shares of Loft II at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Loft II Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Loft II's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Loft fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Loft fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Loft II's beta of -0.95 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Loft II fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Loft II Fundo exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.06 and kurtosis of 1.63. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Loft II's fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Loft II's fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Loft II Fundo Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Loft II correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Loft Beta |
Loft standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 5.23 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Loft II's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Loft II's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in loft fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Loft II.
Loft II Fundo Fund Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Loft II fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Loft II's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Loft II's fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Loft II's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of fund volatility measures Loft II's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Loft II's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the fund.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Loft II's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Loft II's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Loft II Fundo Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Loft II Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Loft II Fundo has a beta of -0.9453 . This indicatesMost traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Loft II or Hybrid Mix Funds sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Loft II's price will be affected by overall fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Loft fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Loft II Fundo has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives a Loft II Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Loft II Fund Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Loft II is -760.27. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 27.37 and standard deviation of 5.23. The mean deviation of Loft II Fundo is currently at 3.76. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Loft II Fund Return Volatility
Loft II historical daily return volatility represents how much of Loft II fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund accepts 5.232% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7685% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About Loft II Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Loft II or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Loft II may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Loft's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Loft II and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Loft II fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize Loft II's volatility to invest better
Higher Loft II's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Loft II Fundo fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Loft II Fundo fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Loft II Fundo investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Loft II's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Loft II's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Loft II Investment Opportunity
Loft II Fundo has a volatility of 5.23 and is 6.79 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 46 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Loft II. You can use Loft II Fundo to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The fund experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Loft II to be traded at R$10.45 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Loft II Fundo and DJI is -0.14 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Loft II Fundo and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Loft II Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Loft II's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Loft II's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Loft II fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.6642 | |||
Mean Deviation | 3.65 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | (842.27) | |||
Standard Deviation | 5.12 | |||
Variance | 26.26 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Loft II Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Loft II as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Loft II's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Loft II's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Loft II Fundo.
Other Information on Investing in Loft Fund
Loft II financial ratios help investors to determine whether Loft Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Loft with respect to the benefits of owning Loft II security.
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