MGP Ingredients (Germany) Volatility
| M1I Stock | 41.80 1.60 3.69% |
MGP Ingredients has Sharpe Ratio of -0.24, which conveys that the firm had a -0.24% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. MGP Ingredients exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify MGP Ingredients' mean deviation of 2.2, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.16) to check out the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to MGP Ingredients' volatility include:
360 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 360 Days Economic Sensitivity |
MGP Ingredients Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of MGP daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use MGP's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of MGP Ingredients volatility.
MGP |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as MGP Ingredients can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of MGP Ingredients at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase MGP stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of MGP Ingredients' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with MGP Stock
Moving against MGP Stock
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| 0.84 | CM2 | CAL MAINE FOODS | PairCorr |
| 0.83 | UN3 | United Natural Foods Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | HHP2 | Hon Hai Precision | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | EK7 | AGRICUL BK CHINA | PairCorr |
MGP Ingredients Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
MGP Ingredients' beta coefficient measures the volatility of MGP stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents MGP stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, MGP Ingredients's beta of 1.04 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk MGP Ingredients stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. MGP Ingredients exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.94 and kurtosis of 12.32. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure MGP Ingredients' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact MGP Ingredients' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze MGP Ingredients Demand TrendCheck current 90 days MGP Ingredients correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)MGP Beta |
MGP standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 3.94 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by MGP Ingredients's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of MGP Ingredients' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in mgp stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in MGP Ingredients.
MGP Ingredients Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which MGP Ingredients stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with MGP Ingredients' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of MGP Ingredients' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of MGP Ingredients' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures MGP Ingredients' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict MGP Ingredients' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for MGP Ingredients' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on MGP Ingredients' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. MGP Ingredients Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
MGP Ingredients Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.0398 . This indicates MGP Ingredients market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, MGP Ingredients is expected to follow.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to MGP Ingredients or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that MGP Ingredients' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MGP stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
MGP Ingredients has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a MGP Ingredients Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.MGP Ingredients Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of MGP Ingredients is -414.47. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 15.52 and standard deviation of 3.94. The mean deviation of MGP Ingredients is currently at 2.26. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
MGP Ingredients Stock Return Volatility
MGP Ingredients historical daily return volatility represents how much of MGP Ingredients stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm accepts 3.939% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7777% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About MGP Ingredients Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of MGP Ingredients or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of MGP Ingredients may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to MGP's beta indicator, it measures the risk of MGP Ingredients and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of MGP Ingredients fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize MGP Ingredients' volatility to invest better
Higher MGP Ingredients' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of MGP Ingredients stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. MGP Ingredients stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of MGP Ingredients investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in MGP Ingredients' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of MGP Ingredients' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
MGP Ingredients Investment Opportunity
MGP Ingredients has a volatility of 3.94 and is 5.05 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 35 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than MGP Ingredients. You can use MGP Ingredients to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of MGP Ingredients to be traded at 40.13 in 90 days.Modest diversification
The correlation between MGP Ingredients and DJI is 0.2 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding MGP Ingredients and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
MGP Ingredients Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of MGP Ingredients' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MGP Ingredients' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of MGP Ingredients stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.16) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.84) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (443.96) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.88 | |||
| Variance | 15.06 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.26) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
MGP Ingredients Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against MGP Ingredients as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. MGP Ingredients' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, MGP Ingredients' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to MGP Ingredients.
Additional Tools for MGP Stock Analysis
When running MGP Ingredients' price analysis, check to measure MGP Ingredients' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MGP Ingredients is operating at the current time. Most of MGP Ingredients' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MGP Ingredients' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MGP Ingredients' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MGP Ingredients to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.