Mainstay Conservative Allocation Volatility
| MCKKXDelisted Fund | USD 11.24 0.00 0.00% |
We have found twenty-four technical indicators for Mainstay Conservative, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Mainstay Conservative's Mean Deviation of 0.2797, risk adjusted performance of 0.0776, and Downside Deviation of 0.3279 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0%. Key indicators related to Mainstay Conservative's volatility include:
690 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 690 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Mainstay Conservative Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Mainstay daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Mainstay's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Mainstay Conservative volatility.
Mainstay |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Mainstay Conservative. They may decide to buy additional shares of Mainstay Conservative at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Mainstay Conservative Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Mainstay Conservative's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Mainstay mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Mainstay mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Mainstay Conservative's beta of -0.076 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Mainstay Conservative mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Mainstay Conservative Allocation exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.28 and kurtosis of -0.48. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mainstay Conservative's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mainstay Conservative's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Mainstay Conservative Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Mainstay Conservative correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Mainstay Beta |
Mainstay standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.0 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Mainstay Conservative's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Mainstay Conservative's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in mainstay mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Mainstay Conservative.
Mainstay Conservative Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Mainstay Conservative fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Mainstay Conservative's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Mainstay Conservative's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Mainstay Conservative's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of fund volatility measures Mainstay Conservative's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Mainstay Conservative's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Mainstay Conservative's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Mainstay Conservative's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
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Mainstay Conservative Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mainstay Conservative Allocation has a beta of -0.076 . This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mainstay Conservative are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mainstay Conservative Allocation is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mainstay Conservative or New York Life Investment Management LLC sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mainstay Conservative's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mainstay fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Mainstay Conservative Allocation has an alpha of 0.039, implying that it can generate a 0.039 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Mainstay Conservative Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Mainstay Conservative Mutual Fund Return Volatility
Mainstay Conservative historical daily return volatility represents how much of Mainstay Conservative fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 0.0% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7444% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Mainstay Conservative Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Mainstay Conservative or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Mainstay Conservative may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Mainstay's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Mainstay Conservative and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Mainstay Conservative fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.The fund is a fund of funds that seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing primarily in mutual funds and ETFs managed by New York Life Investments or its affiliates. Mainstay Conservative is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.
Mainstay Conservative's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Mainstay Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Mainstay Conservative's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Mainstay Conservative's volatility to invest better
Higher Mainstay Conservative's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Mainstay Conservative fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Mainstay Conservative fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Mainstay Conservative investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Mainstay Conservative's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Mainstay Conservative's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Mainstay Conservative Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.74 and is 9.223372036854776E16 times more volatile than Mainstay Conservative Allocation. 0 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Mainstay Conservative. You can use Mainstay Conservative Allocation to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The mutual fund experiences a normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . Check odds of Mainstay Conservative to be traded at $11.13 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Mainstay Conservative Allocati and DJI is -0.17 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Mainstay Conservative Allocati and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Mainstay Conservative Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mainstay Conservative's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mainstay Conservative's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Mainstay Conservative mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0776 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.39) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.2797 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2021 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.3279 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 851.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.3424 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Mainstay Conservative Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Mainstay Conservative as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Mainstay Conservative's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Mainstay Conservative's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Mainstay Conservative Allocation.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Other Consideration for investing in Mainstay Mutual Fund
If you are still planning to invest in Mainstay Conservative check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Mainstay Conservative's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
| Economic Indicators Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing |