Mitek Systems (Germany) Volatility

MKQ Stock  EUR 9.31  0.30  3.12%   
Mitek Systems appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Mitek Systems has Sharpe Ratio of 0.1, which conveys that the firm had a 0.1 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Mitek Systems, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Mitek Systems' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0901, downside deviation of 3.04, and Mean Deviation of 2.44 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.104

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Estimated Market Risk

 3.77
  actual daily
33
67% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.39
  actual daily
7
93% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.1
  actual daily
8
92% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Mitek Systems is performing at about 8% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Mitek Systems by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Mitek Systems' volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Mitek Systems Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Mitek daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Mitek's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Mitek Systems volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Mitek Systems can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Mitek Systems at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Mitek Systems' stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Main indicators related to Mitek Systems' market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
(0.82)
Alpha
0.42
Risk
3.77
Sharpe Ratio
0.1
Expected Return
0.39

Moving together with Mitek Stock

  0.73SSUN Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr
  0.69SSU Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr
  0.71SSU Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr
  0.7SSUN Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr
  0.72H3M Hochschild Mining plcPairCorr
  0.68GCB PTT Global Chemical Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.724HF Hoist Finance ABPairCorr
  0.71UEO Westlake ChemicalPairCorr
  0.72NEF NESTE OILPairCorr
  0.77XSI Sanyo Chemical IndustriesPairCorr
  0.642MF MOBILE FACTORY INCPairCorr
  0.67943 FREY EO 250PairCorr

Moving against Mitek Stock

  0.7BZG2 BANK CENTRAL ASIAPairCorr
  0.62BYRA BANK RAKYAT IND Earnings Call TodayPairCorr
  0.51BZG2 PT Bank CentralPairCorr
  0.44BDD CONICO LTD SplitPairCorr
  0.35TTO TTL Beteiligungs undPairCorr

Mitek Systems Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Mitek Systems' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Mitek stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Mitek stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Mitek Systems's beta of -0.82 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Mitek Systems stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Mitek Systems shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mitek Systems' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mitek Systems' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Check current 90 days Mitek Systems correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.42   β-0.82
3 Months Beta |Analyze Mitek Systems Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Mitek Systems correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Mitek Systems Volatility and Downside Risk

Mitek standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Mitek Systems Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Mitek Systems stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Mitek Systems' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Mitek Systems' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Mitek Systems' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Mitek Systems' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Mitek Systems' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Mitek Systems' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Mitek Systems' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Mitek Systems Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Mitek Systems Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Mitek Systems has a beta of -0.8172 . This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mitek Systems are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mitek Systems is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mitek Systems or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mitek Systems' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mitek stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Mitek Systems has an alpha of 0.4212, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Mitek Systems' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how mitek stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Mitek Systems Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Mitek Systems Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Mitek Systems is 961.11. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 14.19 and standard deviation of 3.77. The mean deviation of Mitek Systems is currently at 2.5. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.81
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.82
σ
Overall volatility
3.77
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Mitek Systems Stock Return Volatility

Mitek Systems historical daily return volatility represents how much of Mitek Systems stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 3.7673% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7767% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

SIT4BAC
BACITB
HLIABAC
SIT4ITB
HLIAEV9
OGM1HLIA
  

High negative correlations

OGM1SIT4
EV9ITB
SIT4EV9
EV9SMA
EV9BAC
OGM1ITB

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Mitek Stock performing well and Mitek Systems Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Mitek Systems' multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.

About Mitek Systems Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Mitek Systems or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Mitek Systems may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Mitek's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Mitek Systems and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Mitek Systems fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.

3 ways to utilize Mitek Systems' volatility to invest better

Higher Mitek Systems' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Mitek Systems stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Mitek Systems stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Mitek Systems investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Mitek Systems' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Mitek Systems' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Mitek Systems Investment Opportunity

Mitek Systems has a volatility of 3.77 and is 4.83 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Mitek Systems is lower than 33 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Mitek Systems to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Mitek Systems to be traded at €8.94 in 90 days.

Poor diversification

The correlation between Mitek Systems and DJI is 0.68 (i.e., Poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Mitek Systems and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Mitek Systems Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mitek Systems' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mitek Systems' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Mitek Systems stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Mitek Systems Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Mitek Systems as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Mitek Systems' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Mitek Systems' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Mitek Systems.

Complementary Tools for Mitek Stock analysis

When running Mitek Systems' price analysis, check to measure Mitek Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mitek Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Mitek Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mitek Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mitek Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mitek Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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