Metrodata Electronics (Indonesia) Volatility
| MTDL Stock | IDR 570.00 5.00 0.88% |
Metrodata Electronics Tbk has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0924, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0924 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Metrodata Electronics exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Metrodata Electronics' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), mean deviation of 1.28, and Standard Deviation of 1.7 to check out the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Metrodata Electronics' volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Metrodata Electronics Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Metrodata daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Metrodata's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Metrodata Electronics volatility.
Metrodata |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Metrodata Electronics at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Metrodata stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving against Metrodata Stock
| 0.76 | OMRE | Indonesia Prima Property | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | INDO | Royalindo Investa Wijaya | PairCorr |
| 0.6 | CTBN | PT Citra Tubindo | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | KKES | PT Kusuma Kemindo | PairCorr |
| 0.5 | MDRN | Modern Internasional Tbk | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | PADI | Minna Padi Investama | PairCorr |
Metrodata Electronics Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Metrodata Electronics' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Metrodata stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Metrodata stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Metrodata Electronics's beta of -0.0234 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Metrodata Electronics stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Metrodata Electronics Tbk exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.07 and kurtosis of 0.42. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Metrodata Electronics' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Metrodata Electronics' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Metrodata Electronics Tbk Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Metrodata Electronics correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Metrodata Beta |
Metrodata standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.71 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Metrodata Electronics's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Metrodata Electronics' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in metrodata stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Metrodata Electronics.
Metrodata Electronics Tbk Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Metrodata Electronics stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Metrodata Electronics' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Metrodata Electronics' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Metrodata Electronics' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Metrodata Electronics' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Metrodata Electronics' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Metrodata Electronics' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Metrodata Electronics' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Metrodata Electronics Tbk Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Metrodata Electronics Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Metrodata Electronics Tbk has a beta of -0.0234 . This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Metrodata Electronics are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Metrodata Electronics Tbk is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Metrodata Electronics or Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Metrodata Electronics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Metrodata stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Metrodata Electronics Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Metrodata Electronics Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Metrodata Electronics Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Metrodata Electronics is -1082.5. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 2.93 and standard deviation of 1.71. The mean deviation of Metrodata Electronics Tbk is currently at 1.24. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.84
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Metrodata Electronics Stock Return Volatility
Metrodata Electronics historical daily return volatility represents how much of Metrodata Electronics stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 1.7104% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8455% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Metrodata Electronics Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Metrodata Electronics or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Metrodata Electronics may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Metrodata's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Metrodata Electronics and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Metrodata Electronics fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the information communication and technology business in Indonesia and internationally. The company was founded in 1975 and is based in Jakarta, Indonesia. Metrodata Electronics operates under Electronics Computer Distribution classification in Indonesia and is traded on Jakarta Stock Exchange. It employs 3121 people.
Metrodata Electronics' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Metrodata Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Metrodata Electronics' price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Metrodata Electronics' volatility to invest better
Higher Metrodata Electronics' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Metrodata Electronics Tbk stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Metrodata Electronics Tbk stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Metrodata Electronics Tbk investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Metrodata Electronics' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Metrodata Electronics' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Metrodata Electronics Investment Opportunity
Metrodata Electronics Tbk has a volatility of 1.71 and is 2.01 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 15 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Metrodata Electronics. You can use Metrodata Electronics Tbk to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a moderate upward volatility. Check odds of Metrodata Electronics to be traded at 627.0 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Metrodata Electronics Tbk and DJI is -0.01 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Metrodata Electronics Tbk and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Metrodata Electronics Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Metrodata Electronics' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Metrodata Electronics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Metrodata Electronics stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 5.27 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,500) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Variance | 2.88 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Metrodata Electronics Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Metrodata Electronics as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Metrodata Electronics' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Metrodata Electronics' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Metrodata Electronics Tbk.
Other Information on Investing in Metrodata Stock
Metrodata Electronics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Metrodata Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Metrodata with respect to the benefits of owning Metrodata Electronics security.