Innovator Nasdaq 100 Power ETF Volatility

NAPR ETF  USD 58.95  0.15  0.26%   
With a long-term beta of 0.48, the ETF it tends to be less volatile than the market as a whole. Innovator Nasdaq's realized and implied volatility are covered along with the standard risk metrics derived from them. The ETF shows minimal price volatility over the last 3 months.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.4547

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Innovator Nasdaq 100 Power posted Market Risk Adjusted Performance at 13.6%, Risk close to 0.31, and Total Risk Alpha close to 0.13 for the reported period. At roughly 36% of its moving-average range, the ETF is trading between its recent low and high monthly averages.
Key indicators related to Innovator Nasdaq's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity

Key risk metrics for Innovator Nasdaq (3 Months):

 Beta
0.01
 Alpha
0.13
 Risk
0.31
 Sharpe Ratio
0.45
 Expected Return
0.14

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Sensitivity To Market

Innovator Nasdaq 100 Power exhibits a beta of 0.0093, representing its market-relative sensitivity. This coefficient separates broader market sensitivity from company-specific volatility. Total return dispersion is approximately 0.31%. Innovator Nasdaq 100 Power return patterns over the selected horizon reflect a minimal level of variability, based on dispersion and downside-focused statistics. Standard deviation is near 0.31%. ETF volatility often reflects both the underlying basket and the trading layer. Premium/discount to NAV is often expressed as (Price − NAV) / NAV × 100 when NAV is available. Spread stability also shapes short-term movement.
Current 90-day Innovator Nasdaq correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.13   β0.01
3 Months Beta |Innovator Nasdaq 100 Demand Trend
Current 90-day Innovator Nasdaq correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Downside Risk

For Innovator Nasdaq, the standard deviation figure expresses the observed spread of daily returns over the selected period. The magnitude of Innovator Nasdaq standard deviation determines where it falls on the volatility spectrum relative to peers.
Standard Deviation
    
  0.31  
Distinguishing between standard deviation and downside deviation sharpens the risk picture for Innovator Nasdaq. Standard deviation reflects total return dispersion for Innovator Nasdaq, while downside deviation captures only the adverse portion of Innovator Nasdaq's returns. Innovator Nasdaq 100 Power posted Downside Deviation at 0.15, Downside Variance close to 0.02, and a Maximum Drawdown of 1.91 for the reported period.

ETF Volatility Analysis

For Innovator Nasdaq, understanding volatility is essential to assessing portfolio risk contribution. It indicates how dramatically Innovator Nasdaq's price swings over a specific time horizon.
Transformation
This analysis covers sixty-one data points across the selected time horizon. The Average Price transformation calculates the mean of Innovator Nasdaq 100's open, high, low, and close for each trading period. By incorporating all four price components equally, it provides a balanced representation of each period's trading activity. Compared to using the closing price alone, the average price reduces the influence of end-of-day positioning and can serve as a smoother input for other technical indicators.

Projected Return Density Against Market

Given a 90-day horizon, Innovator Nasdaq has a beta of 0.0093. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Innovator Nasdaq's average returns tend to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Innovator Nasdaq 100 Power tends to be smaller as well.
The risk profile of Innovator Nasdaq includes exposure to market fluctuations and company or sector-specific developments. Systematic components persist despite diversification. Innovator Nasdaq 100 Power posted Downside Deviation at 0.15, Mean Deviation close to 0.22, and Standard Deviation close to 0.31 for the reported period.
Innovator Nasdaq 100 Power has an alpha of 0.1262, implying that it can generate a 0.1262 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Distribution   
       Density  
Innovator Nasdaq's volatility is typically evaluated with standard deviation and beta. Standard deviation reflects how far Innovator Nasdaq's returns usually move from the mean over the selected horizon.

What Drives Innovator Nasdaq's Price Volatility?

Holdings and Allocation

Innovator Nasdaq's volatility can rise when allocation drift or holdings turnover shifts across the Defined Outcome category.

Political and Economic Environment

Changes in fiscal policy, rates, and growth expectations affect market-wide risk premiums and spill into Innovator Nasdaq's trading.

Innovator Nasdaq's Fund-Specific Factors

Fund flow dynamics, expense-ratio competitiveness, and index reconstitution events can create abrupt price dispersion in Innovator Nasdaq.

ETF Risk Measures

Given a 90-day horizon, the coefficient of variation of Innovator Nasdaq is 219.92. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.1 and standard deviation of 0.31. The mean deviation of Innovator Nasdaq 100 Power is currently at 0.22. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.9
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.47

ETF Return Volatility

Innovator Nasdaq return volatility captures the typical daily swing in ETF returns relative to the mean over the selected period. The ETF has volatility of 0.3104% on return distribution over a 90-day investment horizon. Meanwhile, Dow Jones Industrial reported 0.9205% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day investment horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

AF
MSFTMETA
UBERMSFT
MRKT
CRMT
FMETA
  

High negative correlations

XOMMSFT
XOMMETA
MRKMSFT
TMSFT
XOMF
XOMJPM

Innovator Nasdaq Competition Risk-Adjusted Indicators

Innovator Nasdaq ETF can look attractive on recent price action while risk efficiency lags the peer group. Risk-adjusted metrics help compare Innovator Nasdaq's efficiency and downside exposure against peers on a like-for-like basis. These indicators are quantitative in nature and measure volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across different positions.

Risk Metrics, Assumptions & Methodology

Systematic risk exposure for Innovator Nasdaq measures how much of the fund's volatility comes from broad market movements versus idiosyncratic factors. Reduced trading volume may increase short-term pricing variability.

Innovator Nasdaq 100 Power analytics rely on fund disclosures and market reference feeds, with quality checks and normalization applied. Volatility and downside metrics are estimated from historical return dispersion.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Ellen Johnson, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board

Volatility Profile Summary

Recent data suggests that Innovator Nasdaq 100 Power is less volatile than Dow Jones Industrial by approximately 2.97x over the selected horizon. This differential reflects the relative dispersion of returns and frames how each asset responds to broader market conditions. Observed price behavior shows high return dispersion despite limited directional persistence. Across the current 90-day horizon, this security registers at the 2th percentile of volatility within the broader equity and portfolio universe. This positioning reflects relative dispersion compared to peers rather than extreme instability.

Innovator Nasdaq 100 Power with characteristics aligned to broad market upside participation. This price-change note interprets the latest move in the context of short-horizon trading behavior. It gains reliability when combined with broader risk controls and volatility-adjusted analysis. The current reading suggests a normal upward fluctuation. Return distributions derived from historical modeling outline a range of potential outcomes over the selected 90-day horizon. View Innovator Nasdaq probability analysis.

Weak diversification
Innovator Nasdaq currently posts a 0.55 correlation with Dow Jones, indicating a Weak diversification relationship for the active sample. The overlap area shows the portion of risk diversified away by holding both instruments together.

Additional Risk Indicators

Looking at additional risk metrics for Innovator Nasdaq 100 Power frames how the position may behave under different market and portfolio conditions. This is most informative when assessing whether the current opportunity is being compensated with reasonable risk.

Innovator Nasdaq Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading with Innovator Nasdaq hedges company-specific exposure by balancing a long view with an offsetting position. A disciplined pair structure still requires monitoring because correlation weakens when market regimes change.
While pairing positions reduces portfolio risk, some forms of risk persist no matter which instruments are combined. No matter how well a pair is constructed around Innovator Nasdaq, market-wide risk remains. What pair trading can address is Innovator Nasdaq's unsystematic risk - the portion driven by company or sector-specific factors rather than broad market forces.

More Resources for Innovator Nasdaq ETF Analysis

Understanding Innovator Nasdaq 100 starts with its holdings data, performance history, and fund characteristics. The reports below outline key context for Innovator Nasdaq 100 Power ETF: