Krung Thai (Germany) Volatility

NVPB Stock  EUR 0.55  0.01  1.85%   
Krung Thai appears to be dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. Krung Thai Bank has Sharpe Ratio of 0.15, which conveys that the firm had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Krung Thai, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Krung Thai's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1212, downside deviation of 2.12, and Mean Deviation of 0.9326 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Krung Thai's volatility include:
390 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
390 Days Economic Sensitivity
Krung Thai Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Krung daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Krung's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Krung Thai volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Krung Thai can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Krung Thai at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Krung Thai's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.

Moving against Krung Stock

  0.56OS3 Otello ASAPairCorr
  0.52DBPD Xtrackers ShortDAXPairCorr
  0.51HHX HAMMONIA SchiffsholdingPairCorr
  0.4D7GA NEL ASA ADR30PairCorr
  0.34LYV Lundin Energy ABPairCorr

Krung Thai Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Krung Thai's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Krung stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Krung stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Krung Thai's beta of -0.12 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Krung Thai stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Krung Thai Bank currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.22. Krung Thai Bank is a potential penny stock. Although Krung Thai may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Krung Thai Bank. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Krung instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Krung Thai Bank Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Krung Thai correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Krung Beta

    
  -0.12  
Krung standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.42  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Krung Thai's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Krung Thai's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in krung stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Krung Thai.

Krung Thai Bank Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Krung Thai stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Krung Thai's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Krung Thai's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Krung Thai's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Krung Thai's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Krung Thai's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Krung Thai's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Krung Thai's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Krung Thai Bank Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Krung Thai Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Krung Thai Bank has a beta of -0.1175 . This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Krung Thai are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Krung Thai Bank is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Krung Thai or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Krung Thai's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Krung stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Krung Thai Bank has an alpha of 0.2213, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Krung Thai's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how krung stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Krung Thai Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Krung Thai Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Krung Thai is 655.64. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 2.01 and standard deviation of 1.42. The mean deviation of Krung Thai Bank is currently at 0.93. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
1.42
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Krung Thai Stock Return Volatility

Krung Thai historical daily return volatility represents how much of Krung Thai stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company assumes 1.4182% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7502% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Krung Thai Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Krung Thai or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Krung Thai may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Krung's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Krung Thai and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Krung Thai fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Krung Thai Bank Public Company Limited provides commercial banking products and services to individuals and corporate customers primarily in Thailand. Krung Thai Bank Public Company Limited is a subsidiary of Financial Institutions Development Fund. Krung Thai operates under Banks - Regional - Asia classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange.
Krung Thai's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Krung Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Krung Thai's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Krung Thai's volatility to invest better

Higher Krung Thai's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Krung Thai Bank stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Krung Thai Bank stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Krung Thai Bank investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Krung Thai's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Krung Thai's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Krung Thai Investment Opportunity

Krung Thai Bank has a volatility of 1.42 and is 1.89 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Krung Thai Bank is lower than 12 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Krung Thai Bank to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Krung Thai to be traded at €0.605 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between Krung Thai Bank and DJI is -0.06 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Krung Thai Bank and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Krung Thai Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Krung Thai's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Krung Thai's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Krung Thai stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Krung Thai Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Krung Thai as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Krung Thai's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Krung Thai's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Krung Thai Bank.

Complementary Tools for Krung Stock analysis

When running Krung Thai's price analysis, check to measure Krung Thai's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Krung Thai is operating at the current time. Most of Krung Thai's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Krung Thai's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Krung Thai's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Krung Thai to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance