Pampa Energia Sa Stock Volatility

PAM Stock  USD 82.28  0.39  0.48%   
Pampa Energia appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Pampa Energia SA maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.41, which implies the firm had a 0.41% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Pampa Energia's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.77% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate Pampa Energia's Semi Deviation of 0.8771, coefficient of variation of 258.76, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3007 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Pampa Energia's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Pampa Energia Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Pampa daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Pampa's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Pampa Energia volatility.
  

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Pampa Energia's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Pampa Energia's managers and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Pampa Energia can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Pampa Energia at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Pampa stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Pampa Energia's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Pampa Stock

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  0.86VST Vistra Energy Corp Buyout TrendPairCorr
  0.67EONGY EON SE ADRPairCorr
  0.88AY Atlantica SustainablePairCorr

Moving against Pampa Stock

  0.82ELPC Companhia ParanaensePairCorr
  0.72ES Eversource EnergyPairCorr
  0.69RNWWW ReNew Energy GlobalPairCorr
  0.62FE FirstEnergyPairCorr
  0.44HE Hawaiian ElectricPairCorr
  0.37ED Consolidated EdisonPairCorr

Pampa Energia Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Pampa Energia's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Pampa stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Pampa stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Pampa Energia's beta of 0.69 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Pampa Energia stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Pampa Energia SA has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.27 and kurtosis of -0.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Pampa Energia's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Pampa Energia's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Pampa Energia SA Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Pampa Energia correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Pampa Beta

    
  0.69  
Pampa standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.87  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Pampa Energia's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Pampa Energia's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in pampa stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Pampa Energia.

Pampa Energia SA Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Pampa Energia stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Pampa Energia's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Pampa Energia's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Pampa Energia's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Pampa Energia's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Pampa Energia's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Pampa Energia's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Pampa Energia's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Pampa Energia SA Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Pampa Energia Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Pampa Energia has a beta of 0.6912 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pampa Energia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pampa Energia SA will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Pampa Energia or Electric Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Pampa Energia's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Pampa stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Pampa Energia SA has an alpha of 0.6483, implying that it can generate a 0.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Pampa Energia's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how pampa stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Pampa Energia Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Pampa Energia Stock Risk Measures

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Pampa Energia is 242.31. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 3.51 and standard deviation of 1.87. The mean deviation of Pampa Energia SA is currently at 1.48. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.65
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.69
σ
Overall volatility
1.87
Ir
Information ratio 0.33

Pampa Energia Stock Return Volatility

Pampa Energia historical daily return volatility represents how much of Pampa Energia stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm has volatility of 1.8733% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7608% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Pampa Energia Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Pampa Energia or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Pampa Energia may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Pampa's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Pampa Energia and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Pampa Energia fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses16.6 B17.4 B
Market Cap3.2 B3.1 B
Pampa Energia's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Pampa Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Pampa Energia's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Pampa Energia's volatility to invest better

Higher Pampa Energia's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Pampa Energia SA stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Pampa Energia SA stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Pampa Energia SA investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Pampa Energia's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Pampa Energia's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Pampa Energia Investment Opportunity

Pampa Energia SA has a volatility of 1.87 and is 2.46 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Pampa Energia SA is lower than 16 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Pampa Energia SA to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of Pampa Energia to be traded at $86.39 in 90 days.

Modest diversification

The correlation between Pampa Energia SA and DJI is 0.28 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Pampa Energia SA and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Pampa Energia Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pampa Energia's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pampa Energia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Pampa Energia stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pampa Energia Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Pampa Energia as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Pampa Energia's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Pampa Energia's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Pampa Energia SA.
When determining whether Pampa Energia SA is a strong investment it is important to analyze Pampa Energia's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Pampa Energia's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Pampa Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Pampa Energia SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pampa Energia. If investors know Pampa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pampa Energia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.814
Earnings Share
8
Revenue Per Share
33.15
Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.43
Return On Assets
0.052
The market value of Pampa Energia SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pampa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pampa Energia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pampa Energia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pampa Energia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pampa Energia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pampa Energia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pampa Energia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pampa Energia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.