PALFINGER (Germany) Volatility
| PFI Stock | EUR 39.75 0.80 2.05% |
PALFINGER appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. PALFINGER maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.25, which implies the company had a 0.25 % return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for PALFINGER, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please evaluate PALFINGER's market risk adjusted performance of (6.87), and Coefficient Of Variation of 613.05 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
Sharpe Ratio = 0.2505
| High Returns | Best Equity | |||
| Good Returns | ||||
| Average Returns | ||||
| Small Returns | PFI | |||
| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns |
Estimated Market Risk
| 1.82 actual daily | 16 84% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| 0.45 actual daily | 9 91% of assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| 0.25 actual daily | 19 81% of assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average PALFINGER is performing at about 19% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of PALFINGER by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to PALFINGER's volatility include:90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
PALFINGER Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of PALFINGER daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use PALFINGER's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of PALFINGER volatility.
PALFINGER |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as PALFINGER can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of PALFINGER at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase PALFINGER stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of PALFINGER's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns. Main indicators related to PALFINGER's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta (0.04) | Alpha 0.29 | Risk 1.82 | Sharpe Ratio 0.25 | Expected Return 0.45 |
Moving together with PALFINGER Stock
| 0.79 | 4I1 | Philip Morris Intern | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | SEH | SHIN ETSU CHEMICAL | PairCorr |
| 0.84 | DP4B | AP Mller | PairCorr |
| 0.89 | FPMB | FREEPORT MCMORAN | PairCorr |
| 0.93 | XMF | STOMO MITSUI FINL | PairCorr |
| 0.92 | SCL | Schlumberger Limited | PairCorr |
| 0.84 | JMI | Deep Yellow Limited | PairCorr |
| 0.87 | FTD | FINDE TUBIZE ACTNOUV | PairCorr |
| 0.9 | XSI | Sanyo Chemical Industries | PairCorr |
| 0.89 | 4OQ1 | AGNC Investment Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | UUEC | United Utilities | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | 8SF | SLIGRO FOOD GROUP | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | E908 | Lyxor 1 | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | DBPE | Xtrackers LevDAX | PairCorr |
Moving against PALFINGER Stock
| 0.83 | DBPD | Xtrackers ShortDAX | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | ABL | Abbott Laboratories | PairCorr |
| 0.52 | HK2C | Hong Kong Exchanges | PairCorr |
PALFINGER Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
PALFINGER's beta coefficient measures the volatility of PALFINGER stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents PALFINGER stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, PALFINGER's beta of -0.0415 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk PALFINGER stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. PALFINGER has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.64 and kurtosis of 0.55. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure PALFINGER's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact PALFINGER's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze PALFINGER Demand TrendCheck current 90 days PALFINGER correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)PALFINGER Volatility and Downside Risk
PALFINGER standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
PALFINGER Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which PALFINGER stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with PALFINGER's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of PALFINGER's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of PALFINGER's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures PALFINGER's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict PALFINGER's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for PALFINGER's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on PALFINGER's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. PALFINGER Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
PALFINGER Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PALFINGER has a beta of -0.0415 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PALFINGER are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PALFINGER is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to PALFINGER or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that PALFINGER's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a PALFINGER stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a PALFINGER Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.PALFINGER Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of PALFINGER is 399.25. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 3.3 and standard deviation of 1.82. The mean deviation of PALFINGER is currently at 1.42. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.8
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
PALFINGER Stock Return Volatility
PALFINGER historical daily return volatility represents how much of PALFINGER stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm assumes 1.8163% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8004% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
Related Correlations Analysis
Correlation Matchups
Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.High positive correlations
| High negative correlations
|
Risk-Adjusted Indicators
There is a big difference between PALFINGER Stock performing well and PALFINGER Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze PALFINGER's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.| Mean Deviation | Jensen Alpha | Sortino Ratio | Treynor Ratio | Semi Deviation | Expected Shortfall | Potential Upside | Value @Risk | Maximum Drawdown | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABL | 1.06 | (0.19) | 0.00 | 2.39 | 0.00 | 1.91 | 14.56 | |||
| AMD | 3.01 | (0.31) | 0.00 | (0.37) | 0.00 | 6.33 | 24.55 | |||
| 4I1 | 1.15 | 0.30 | 0.14 | 2.18 | 1.18 | 2.89 | 7.67 | |||
| AMG | 1.58 | 0.31 | 0.13 | 1.45 | 1.54 | 4.09 | 12.15 | |||
| HK2C | 0.54 | (0.10) | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.00 | 1.49 | 5.73 | |||
| DP4B | 0.83 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 1.08 | 2.57 | 7.59 | |||
| FPMB | 1.25 | 0.30 | 0.09 | 2.17 | 1.42 | 3.93 | 9.65 |
About PALFINGER Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of PALFINGER or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of PALFINGER may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to PALFINGER's beta indicator, it measures the risk of PALFINGER and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of PALFINGER fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize PALFINGER's volatility to invest better
Higher PALFINGER's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of PALFINGER stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. PALFINGER stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of PALFINGER investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in PALFINGER's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of PALFINGER's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
PALFINGER Investment Opportunity
PALFINGER has a volatility of 1.82 and is 2.28 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 16 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than PALFINGER. You can use PALFINGER to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of PALFINGER to be traded at €47.7 in 90 days.Very poor diversification
The correlation between PALFINGER and DJI is 0.89 (i.e., Very poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding PALFINGER and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
PALFINGER Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of PALFINGER's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PALFINGER's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of PALFINGER stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1364 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (6.87) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 613.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.81 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
PALFINGER Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against PALFINGER as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. PALFINGER's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, PALFINGER's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to PALFINGER.
Additional Tools for PALFINGER Stock Analysis
When running PALFINGER's price analysis, check to measure PALFINGER's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PALFINGER is operating at the current time. Most of PALFINGER's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PALFINGER's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PALFINGER's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PALFINGER to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.